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Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:600436) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's (SHSE:600436) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

片仔癀制药(SHSE:600436)的利润可能没有揭示其中的潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  08/23 19:19

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical., Ltd's (SHSE:600436) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

片仔癀制药有限公司(SHSE:600436)健康的利润数字对投资者来说并没有什么意外。我们认为股东已经注意到了一些超出法定利润数字的令人担忧的因素。

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SHSE:600436 Earnings and Revenue History August 23rd 2024
SHSE:600436盈利和营业收入历史数据(2024年8月23日)

A Closer Look At Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's Earnings

细看片仔癀制药的盈利状况

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高级财务中,用来衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的主要比率是应计比率(来自现金流量表)。该应计比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,并将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均营运资产。你可以将应计比率从现金流量表视为“非自由现金流利润比率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负的计提率是件好事,因为它表明该公司所带来的自由现金流比其利润所显示的要多。虽然高于零的计提率没有什么大碍,但我们认为当公司的计提率相对较高时值得注意。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高计提率往往导致利润更少或者更少的利润增长。

For the year to June 2024, Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical had an accrual ratio of 0.38. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥1.1b in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥2.98b. Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits. The good news for shareholders is that Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

截至2024年6月,片仔癀制药的账面比例为0.38。因此,其自由现金流比利润要弱得多。从统计学角度来看,这对未来的盈利是一个真正的负面因素。事实上,去年它的自由现金流仅为11亿元,远低于其法定利润的298亿元。片仔癀制药的自由现金流在过去一年实际上有所下降,但明年可能会反弹,因为自由现金流通常比会计利润更加波动。对股东来说,好消息是片仔癀制药去年的账面比例要好得多,所以今年的糟糕数据可能只是利润和自由现金流之间的短期不匹配。因此,一些股东可能在今年寻找更强的现金转化率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's Profit Performance

关于片仔癀医药的盈利表现我们的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 55% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical (1 is concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

正如我们已经明确表示的那样,我们有点担心片仔癀医药去年的利润没有得到自由现金流的支持。因此,我们认为片仔癀医药的基本盈利能力可能低于其法定利润。但至少股东可以从过去三年每股收益增长55%的增长中获得些许安慰。归根结底,如果您想正确了解公司,重要的是要考虑不仅仅是上述因素。如果您想更深入地了解片仔癀医药,您还需要了解它当前面临的风险。在我们的调研中,我们发现片仔癀医药有2个警示信号(其中1个令人担忧!)我们认为这值得您充分注意。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

这则说明只是关注了一项能够揭示片仔癀医药盈利本质的因素。但是还有很多其他方法可以了解一个公司。有些人认为股权回报率高的公司是质量良好的标志。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这份免费的高股权回报率公司收集,或者这份持有大量内部股份的股票清单会对您有所帮助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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