SICC Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
SICC Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
SICC Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688234) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 3.9% to CN¥47.25 in the week after its latest second-quarter results. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of CN¥486m were what the analysts expected, SICC surprised by delivering a (statutory) profit of CN¥0.13 per share, an impressive 66% above what was forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
上週SICC股票(SHSE:688234)下跌3.9%,至47.25元人民幣,股東可能感到有些失望。總體來看,這是一個可信的結果—儘管銷售額達到了4.86億元人民幣,與分析師預期一致,但SICC交付了每股0.13元人民幣的(法定)盈利,比預期高出66%。盈利是投資者關注的重要時刻,他們可以追蹤公司的表現,查看分析師對明年的預測,並了解市場對該公司的觀感是否發生了變化。有鑑於此,我們彙總了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師對明年的預期。
Following the latest results, SICC's ten analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥2.26b in 2024. This would be a substantial 31% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 41% to CN¥0.42. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥2.14b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.41 in 2024. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.
根據最新的結果,SICC的十位分析師預測2024年營業收入將達到22.6億元人民幣,較過去12個月增長31%。每股盈利預計將增長41%,達到0.42元人民幣。然而,在最新業績之前,分析師預計2024年的營業收入爲21.4億元,每股盈利爲0.41元人民幣。看起來,最新業績後有一些情緒上的提高,分析師對營業收入和盈利的預測變得更加樂觀。
Althoughthe analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of CN¥65.00, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on SICC, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥95.00 and the most bearish at CN¥39.00 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
儘管分析師們提高了盈利預測,但對於SICC的目標股價仍然維持在65.00元人民幣,表明預測績效對公司的估值沒有長期影響。此外,分析師估值範圍的差異也是一個指導性參考,可以評估離群觀點與平均水平的差異有多大。對於SICC存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析師估值爲95.00元人民幣,最看淡的爲39.00元人民幣每股。這是一個相當大的預測範圍,表明分析師對該業務的可能結果有着廣泛的預測。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that SICC's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 72% annualised growth rate until the end of 2024 being well below the historical 148% growth over the last year. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 22% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that SICC is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
當然,另一種看待這些預測的方式是將它們與行業本身進行對比。我們要強調的是,SICC的營業收入增長預期將放緩,預計到2024年底的年化增長率爲72%,遠低於去年148%的歷史增長率。將其與行業其他有分析師覆蓋的公司進行對比,這些公司的預測年度營收增長率爲22%(總體預測)。即使在預測增長放緩之後,很明顯SICC的增長速度也超過了整個行業。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around SICC's earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
對我們來說,最重要的是共識每股收益的上調,這表明了對SICC明年收益潛力的明確改善態度。令人高興的是,他們還提高了他們的營業收入預測,並預測其增長速度將超過整個行業。共識價格目標沒有實質性變化,這表明公司的內在價值在最新的估計中沒有發生重大變化。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple SICC analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
有必要指出的是,公司盈利的長期軌跡比明年的情況更爲重要。我們得到了2026年的估計-來自多個SICC分析師-您可以在我們的平台上免費查看它們。
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for SICC that you need to take into consideration.
值得注意的是,我們發現了1個關於SICC的警示徵兆,您需要考慮進去。
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