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CMOC Group Limited's (HKG:3993) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

CMOC Group Limited's (HKG:3993) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

洛阳钼业(HKG:3993)的股票价格一直在下滑,但基本面看起来很强劲:市场错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  08/25 20:23

With its stock down 16% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard CMOC Group (HKG:3993). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study CMOC Group's ROE in this article.

股价在过去三个月下跌了16%,很容易忽视洛阳钼业集团(HKG:3993)。然而,仔细观察其良好的财务状况可能会让你重新考虑。鉴于基本面通常驱动长期市场结果,这家公司值得关注。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究洛阳钼业集团的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股东要考虑的关键因素之一是净资产收益率或roe,因为它告诉他们公司如何有效地重新投资他们的资本。简单点说,它衡量了公司与股东权益相关的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CMOC Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,洛阳钼业集团的roe为:

19% = CN¥14b ÷ CN¥76b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

19% = 140亿人民币 ÷ 760亿人民币(基于截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each HK$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made HK$0.19 in profit.

“回报”是过去十二个月的利润。一个概念化的方法是,对于每1港元的股东资本,公司赚取了0.19港元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,roe作为一种有效的盈利预测工具,可为公司未来的盈利能力提供参考。基于公司选择重新投资或“保留”的利润比例,我们可以评估其未来盈利能力。总的来说,在其他条件相等的情况下,roe和利润保留比例高的公司比那些不具备这些特点的公司增长速度更快。

CMOC Group's Earnings Growth And 19% ROE

洛阳钼业集团的收益增长和19%的roe

To start with, CMOC Group's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 10%. This certainly adds some context to CMOC Group's exceptional 32% net income growth seen over the past five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

首先,洛阳钼业集团的roe看起来是可以接受的。此外,该公司的roe与行业平均水平10%相比也相当有竞争力。这无疑为洛阳钼业集团过去五年来32%的净利润增长提供了一些背景。我们相信还可能有其他方面对该公司的收益增长产生了积极影响。例如,该公司具有较低的派息比率或高效管理。

We then compared CMOC Group's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 12% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将洛阳钼业集团的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,并且很高兴地看到该公司的增长率在同样的5年期内高于行业的增长率,后者为12%.

1724631828199
SEHK:3993 Past Earnings Growth August 26th 2024
SEHK:3993过去的收益增长 2024年8月26日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 3993? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

为了给一家公司评价价值,其盈利增长在很大程度上与其联系在一起。投资者了解市场是否已经将公司的预期盈利增长(或下降)定价进去是很重要的。这样做将有助于他们判断股票的未来前景是光明还是黑暗。市场是否已经定价了3993的未来前景?你可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。

Is CMOC Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

CMOC集团是否有效使用其留存盈余?

The three-year median payout ratio for CMOC Group is 30%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 70%. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and CMOC Group is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

CMOC集团的三年中位数股息比率为30%,较低。公司将其余余额保留了70%。看起来,股息得到了很好的覆盖,CMOC集团正在高效地再投资利润,这也是我们之前讨论过的显著增长的证据。

Besides, CMOC Group has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 41% over the next three years. Despite the higher expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

此外,CMOC集团至少已经连续十年支付股息。这表明该公司致力于与股东分享利润。我们最新的分析师数据显示,该公司未来三年的股息支付比率预计将上升到41%。尽管预计股息支付比率会提高,但公司的ROE预计不会有太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we are quite pleased with CMOC Group's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总体上,我们对洛阳钼业集团的表现感到非常满意。特别是,公司正在大量投资于其业务,并且具有较高的回报率,这导致了盈利的大幅增长。然而,据当前分析师预测,公司的盈利增长预计将放缓。要了解更多关于公司未来盈利增长预测的信息,请参阅此免费的分析师预测报告。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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