Guangdong Quanwei Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300716) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 29% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio of 2.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Chemicals industry in China is also close to 1.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 51% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 71% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's P/S?
Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Guangdong Quanwei TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.