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Tianjin Ringpu Bio-Technology Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Revenue By 5.4%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Tianjin Ringpu Bio-Technology Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Revenue By 5.4%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

瑞普生物未能达到营业收入目标5.4%,以下是分析师对接下来可能发生的事情的看法。
Simply Wall St ·  08/26 19:11

Tianjin Ringpu Bio-Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300119) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 8.8% to CN¥11.85 in the week after its latest interim results. Results look mixed - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥1.1b, statutory earnings were in line with expectations, at CN¥0.98 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

瑞普生物(SZSE:300119)的股东们可能会感到有些失望,因为其股票在最新的半年度财报公布后的一周内下跌了8.8%,至人民币11.85元。报告显示情况并不明朗——虽然营业收入略低于分析师的预期,为11亿元,但实际每股收益符合预期,为人民币0.98元。这对投资者来说是一个重要的时刻,他们可以通过财报追踪公司的业绩,查看专家对明年的预测,并了解业务前景是否有所改变。我们认为读者会发现分析师对明年的(法定)盈利预测很有趣。

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SZSE:300119 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 26th 2024
SZSE:300119的盈利和营业收入增长2024年8月26日

After the latest results, the seven analysts covering Tianjin Ringpu Bio-TechnologyLtd are now predicting revenues of CN¥2.76b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a solid 17% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to step up 15% to CN¥1.08. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥2.74b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.13 in 2024. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the minor downgrade to their earnings per share numbers for next year.

根据最新的结果,对天津瑞普生物(SZSE:300119)进行覆盖的七位分析师预测其2024年的营业收入将达到27.6亿元。如果达到预期,这将意味着与过去12个月相比,营业收入将实现17%的稳步增长。每股盈利预计将提高15%,达到1.08元。在此报告之前,分析师的预测值为2024年的营业收入为27.4亿元,每股盈利(EPS)为1.13元。在最新的结果公布后,分析师对明年的每股盈利数字稍有下调,对公司持稍微看淡态度。

The average price target fell 12% to CN¥18.66, with reduced earnings forecasts clearly tied to a lower valuation estimate. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Tianjin Ringpu Bio-TechnologyLtd, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥21.00 and the most bearish at CN¥16.50 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

平均目标价下调了12%,预测的盈利力和低估值估计明显相关。同时了解分析师估值范围也是有益的,以评估异常意见与平均意见的差异程度。对于天津瑞普生物(SZSE:300119),存在一些不同的观点,其中最看好的分析师给出的估值为人民币21.00元,最看淡的为人民币16.50元/股。尽管如此,由于估值范围狭窄,这表明分析师对公司的估值有相当明确的想法。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Tianjin Ringpu Bio-TechnologyLtd's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 38% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 8.9% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 12% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Tianjin Ringpu Bio-TechnologyLtd to grow faster than the wider industry.

了解这些预测的更多背景,一种方法是将其与过去的业绩进行比较,以及与同行业其他公司的表现进行比较。从最新的预测中可以明显看出,天津瑞普生物(SZSE:300119)的增长速度有望显著加速,预计到2024年结束时的年化营业收入增长率为38%,明显快于其过去五年的历史增长率8.9%。与同行业其他公司相比,预计营业收入增长率为12%。显然,尽管增长前景优于近期,分析师们还是预计天津瑞普生物会比整个行业增长更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Tianjin Ringpu Bio-TechnologyLtd. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

最大的担忧是分析师降低了每股收益的预估,暗示天津瑞普生物可能面临业务挑战。令人高兴的是,营业收入预测没有发生重大变化,业务预计仍然比整个行业增长更快。此外,分析师还下调了价格目标,表明最新的消息导致市场对公司内在价值更悲观。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Tianjin Ringpu Bio-TechnologyLtd analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

继这种思路之后,我们认为企业的长期前景比明年的收益更为重要。我们有多位天津瑞普生物分析师对2026年的预测,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Tianjin Ringpu Bio-TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.

然而,在您过于兴奋之前,我们发现了2个天津瑞普生物应注意的警示信号。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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