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The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Founder Securities (SHSE:601901) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Founder Securities (SHSE:601901) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

創業證券(SHSE:601901)的三年基本盈利增長前景看好,但股東仍處於虧損狀態
Simply Wall St ·  08/27 03:53

No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. While the Founder Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601901) share price is down 18% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -18%. That's better than the market which declined 31% over the last three years. Furthermore, it's down 17% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 12% in the same timeframe.

沒有人喜歡在股票上虧錢。但在下跌市場中賺錢可能很困難。雖然上海證券交易所的創始人證券股份有限公司(SHSE:601901)股價在過去三年下跌了18%,但股東的總回報(包括股息)是-18%。這比市場下跌了31%的表現要好。此外,它在大約一季度內下跌了17%。這對股東來說並不太有趣。然而,有人可能會認爲股價受到了整體市場的影響,在同一時段內下跌了12%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考慮到過去一週對股東來說是艱難的,讓我們調查一下基本面並看看我們能學到什麼。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

禾倫·巴菲特在他的論文《格雷厄姆-道德斯維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股票價格並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間變化的變化,我們可以了解到投資者對某家公司的態度如何隨時間而變化。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Founder Securities actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 6.6% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在不幸的三年股價下跌期間,創始人證券實際上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年提高6.6%。這是一個相當令人困惑的現象,表明股價可能受到了某種暫時的支撐。或者,過去的增長預期可能是不合理的。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得查看其他指標。

With a rather small yield of just 0.3% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We think that the revenue decline over three years, at a rate of 6.6% per year, probably had some shareholders looking to sell. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.

由於股息率只有0.3%,我們懷疑該股票的股價並不是基於其分紅。我們認爲,在過去的三年中,營業收入以每年6.6%的速度下降,這可能導致一些股東尋求賣出。畢竟,如果營業收入繼續縮水,未來可能難以找到盈利增長。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

1724745211335
SHSE:601901 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 27th 2024
SHSE:601901收入和盈利增長2024年8月27日

If you are thinking of buying or selling Founder Securities stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮買入或賣出創始人證券股票,您應該查看這份關於其資產負債表的免費詳細報告。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While it's never nice to take a loss, Founder Securities shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 8.1% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 16%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 0.4% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Founder Securities better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Founder Securities , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管遭受損失從來都不是件好事,但創始人證券股東可以放心,包括分紅在內,他們過去十二個月的虧損8.1%並不像市場虧損約16%那樣嚴重。當然,長期回報更重要,好消息是,在過去的五年中,該股票每年回報0.4%。也許企業只是面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。了解股票的長期表現總是很有意思,但要更好地了解創始人證券,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,一直存在的投資風險。我們已經發現了2個創始人證券的警示信號,了解它們應該是您的投資過程的一部分。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果您喜歡與管理層一起購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個公司的免費列表。 (提示:其中許多公司不爲人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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