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The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Founder Securities (SHSE:601901) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Founder Securities (SHSE:601901) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

创业证券(SHSE:601901)的三年基本盈利增长前景看好,但股东仍处于亏损状态
Simply Wall St ·  08/27 03:53

No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. While the Founder Securities Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601901) share price is down 18% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -18%. That's better than the market which declined 31% over the last three years. Furthermore, it's down 17% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 12% in the same timeframe.

没有人喜欢在股票上亏钱。但在下跌市场中赚钱可能很困难。虽然上海证券交易所的创始人证券股份有限公司(SHSE:601901)股价在过去三年下跌了18%,但股东的总回报(包括股息)是-18%。这比市场下跌了31%的表现要好。此外,它在大约一季度内下跌了17%。这对股东来说并不太有趣。然而,有人可能会认为股价受到了整体市场的影响,在同一时段内下跌了12%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考虑到过去一周对股东来说是艰难的,让我们调查一下基本面并看看我们能学到什么。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

沃伦·巴菲特在他的论文《格雷厄姆-道德斯维尔的超级投资者》中描述了股票价格并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间变化的变化,我们可以了解到投资者对某家公司的态度如何随时间而变化。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Founder Securities actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 6.6% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在不幸的三年股价下跌期间,创始人证券实际上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年提高6.6%。这是一个相当令人困惑的现象,表明股价可能受到了某种暂时的支撑。或者,过去的增长预期可能是不合理的。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,因此值得查看其他指标。

With a rather small yield of just 0.3% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We think that the revenue decline over three years, at a rate of 6.6% per year, probably had some shareholders looking to sell. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.

由于股息率只有0.3%,我们怀疑该股票的股价并不是基于其分红。我们认为,在过去的三年中,营业收入以每年6.6%的速度下降,这可能导致一些股东寻求卖出。毕竟,如果营业收入继续缩水,未来可能难以找到盈利增长。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

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SHSE:601901 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 27th 2024
SHSE:601901收入和盈利增长2024年8月27日

If you are thinking of buying or selling Founder Securities stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考虑买入或卖出创始人证券股票,您应该查看这份关于其资产负债表的免费详细报告。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While it's never nice to take a loss, Founder Securities shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 8.1% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 16%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 0.4% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Founder Securities better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Founder Securities , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管遭受损失从来都不是件好事,但创始人证券股东可以放心,包括分红在内,他们过去十二个月的亏损8.1%并不像市场亏损约16%那样严重。当然,长期回报更重要,好消息是,在过去的五年中,该股票每年回报0.4%。也许企业只是面临一些短期问题,但股东应密切关注基本面。了解股票的长期表现总是很有意思,但要更好地了解创始人证券,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,一直存在的投资风险。我们已经发现了2个创始人证券的警示信号,了解它们应该是您的投资过程的一部分。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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