Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (NYSE:KNX) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 12% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' ROE today.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
How Is ROE Calculated?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings is:
0.9% = US$66m ÷ US$7.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.01 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' Earnings Growth And 0.9% ROE
It is quite clear that Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 15%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' flat earnings over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.
We then compared Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 12% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.
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Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is KNX fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.
Is Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings' low three-year median payout ratio of 10%, (meaning the company retains90% of profits) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see higher growth than it has reported.
In addition, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 18% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings is speculated to rise to 8.2% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.
Conclusion
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.