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Here's Why China Resources Beer (Holdings) (HKG:291) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why China Resources Beer (Holdings) (HKG:291) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

以下是中国资源啤酒(控股)(HKG:291)能够负责任地管理其债务的原因
Simply Wall St ·  08/27 19:05

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (HKG:291) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李录(Charlie Munger支持的)曾经说过,'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。'所以看起来聪明的投资者知道,债务通常是破产中涉及的一个非常重要的因素,当你评估一家公司的风险时。就像许多其他公司一样,华润啤酒(控股)有限公司(HKG:291)利用了债务。但真正的问题是这个债务是否使公司变得有风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业遇到偿还贷款的麻烦,无论是通过新的资本还是通过自由现金流。如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能会毫无所获。然而,在一个更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况下,公司必须以便宜的股票价格稀释股东才能控制债务。当然,债务可以是企业的重要工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业。当考虑公司的债务使用情况时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起来看。

How Much Debt Does China Resources Beer (Holdings) Carry?

中国资源啤酒(控股)公司(HKG:291)承载了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that China Resources Beer (Holdings) had CN¥1.38b of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥8.88b, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥6.50b in cash, leading to a CN¥5.12b net cash position.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示中国资源啤酒(控股)公司于2024年6月持有13.8亿人民币债务,比一年前的88.8亿人民币减少。但另一方面,它也持有65亿人民币现金,导致净现金为51.2亿人民币。

1724799909496
SEHK:291 Debt to Equity History August 27th 2024
SEHK:291资产负债历史记录于2024年8月27日

A Look At China Resources Beer (Holdings)'s Liabilities

审视中国资源啤酒(控股)的负债

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Resources Beer (Holdings) had liabilities of CN¥25.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥9.89b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.50b in cash and CN¥3.49b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥25.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表看到,中国资源啤酒(控股)有253亿人民币的短期到期负债,以及98.9亿人民币的长期到期负债。与此相抵消的是,公司有65亿人民币的现金和34.9亿人民币的应收款项,这些应收款项在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收款项的合计多252亿人民币。

China Resources Beer (Holdings) has a market capitalization of CN¥68.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, China Resources Beer (Holdings) also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

中国资源啤酒(控股)的市值为682亿人民币,所以如果需要,公司很可能筹集资金改善资产负债表。但我们绝对要对表明其债务带来过多风险的迹象保持警惕。尽管它有值得注意的负债,但中国资源啤酒(控股)的现金也比债务多,因此我们相当有信心公司可以安全地管理债务。

But the other side of the story is that China Resources Beer (Holdings) saw its EBIT decline by 4.8% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Resources Beer (Holdings)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

但另一方面,中国资源啤酒(控股)去年的息税折旧摊销前利润(EBIt)下降了4.8%。如果收益继续以这个比率下降,公司可能越来越难以管理其债务负担。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得有关债务的大部分信息。但最终决定中国资源啤酒(控股)未来能否维持健康资产负债表的,是未来的收益,而不是其他任何东西。因此,如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While China Resources Beer (Holdings) has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, China Resources Beer (Holdings) recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,尽管税务人员可能青睐会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。尽管中国资源啤酒(控股)的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得看一下公司将息税折旧摊销前利润(EBIt)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解公司正在快速(或侵蚀)积累现金的速度。在最近的三年中,中国资源啤酒(控股)录得的自由现金流值为其EBIt的59%,这在正常范围内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税金。这种自由现金流使公司有能力在合适时偿还债务。

Summing Up

总之

Although China Resources Beer (Holdings)'s balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥5.12b. So we are not troubled with China Resources Beer (Holdings)'s debt use. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in China Resources Beer (Holdings), you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

虽然中国资源啤酒(控股)的资产负债表并不是特别强大,因为总负债,但很明显看到它有51.2亿人民币的净现金。所以我们对中国资源啤酒(控股)的债务使用并不感到困扰。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益,所以如果你对中国资源啤酒(控股)感兴趣,你可能会想要点击这里,查看其每股收益历史的互动图。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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