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Manufacturing Growth Expected to Pick up in Q4 2024, Led by Electronics

Manufacturing Growth Expected to Pick up in Q4 2024, Led by Electronics

預計2024年第四季度製造業增長將會加速,以電子產品爲主導

In July, output grew by 1.8% YoY.

7月份,產出同比增長1.8%。

Experts foresee more substantial sequential growth in the manufacturing sector, particularly in electronics, from Q4 2024 to 2025, after July's robust industrial production figures.

專家預測,從2024年第四季度到2025年,尤其是在電子領域,製造業將出現更大幅度的季度增長,這是繼7月份強勁的工業生產數據之後的趨勢。

UOB suggests this growth is likely if major central banks in advanced economies lower policy rates, spurring investment and consumption.

大華銀行建議,如果先進經濟體的主要中央銀行降低政策利率,刺激投資和消費,這種增長可能會出現。

"Furthermore, the eventual replenishment of inventory and the ongoing replacement of worn-out or outdated consumer electronics acquired during the pandemic are positive tailwinds for the electronics segment," UOB said.

「此外,庫存補充和在疫情期間獲得的耗損或過時消費電子產品的持續更換,對電子產品板塊是利好因素,」大華銀行表示。

The electronics segment output rose 2.8% YoY in July.

7月份,電子產品板塊產出同比增長2.8%。

The positive outlook on the electronics sector, alongside, bright spots in specific industries, and the the stronger-than-expected July IP performance are among the reasons why RHB anticipate Singapore's manufacturing and trade-related sectors will contribute to overall growth in 2H24.

電子產品板塊的積極前景,以及特定行業的亮點以及7月份強勁的工業生產表現是爲什麼大華銀行預計新加坡的製造業和與貿易相關的部門將對2H24的整體增長做出貢獻的原因之一。

"We observe bright spots in specific industries: electronics, precision engineering, and transport engineering in for the remainder of the year. Empirically, these industries are plugged into the global trade landscape and will continue to benefit from the uptick in global E&E demand and trade activities." RHB said.

“我們在特定行業觀察到亮點:電子產品、精密工程和交通工程。從實證角度來看,這些行業與全球貿易格局相連接,將繼續從全球電子電器需求和貿易活動的回暖中受益。大華銀行表示。

"It is important to note these sectors such as transport engineering—particularly marine and offshore engineering—general manufacturing, and electronics segments including computer peripherals, info-comms, and other electronic modules continued to show annual growth. This expansion reflects ongoing recovery in major economies like the US and China. As such, we look for Singapore's industrial production growth momentum to recover into 2H24 on the back of an improved global backdrop," RHB added.

「重要的是要注意到,像交通工程(特別是海洋和海上工程)、通用製造業和計算機外部設備、信息通信和其他電子模塊等電子產品板塊仍在繼續顯示年度增長。這種擴張反映出美國和中國等主要經濟體的持續復甦。因此,我們預計新加坡的工業生產增長勢頭將在全球形勢好轉的背景下在2H24復甦。」大華銀行補充道。

For the full year, RHB and UOB experts predict IP print to grow by 1.0%

根據大華銀行和大華銀行專家的預測,全年的IP打印預計將增長1.0%

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