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Why Is Bitcoin Underperforming Against Gold? Because They're 'Not Meaningfully Correlated,' Analyst Points Out

Why Is Bitcoin Underperforming Against Gold? Because They're 'Not Meaningfully Correlated,' Analyst Points Out

爲什麼比特幣對黃金錶現不佳?因爲它們「沒有實質相關性」,分析師指出
Benzinga ·  08/28 14:07

The recent underperformance of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) against gold prompted debate on social media, with some challenging the notion that Bitcoin simply "follows" gold's price movements.

比特幣(加密貨幣: BTC)近期相對黃金的表現不佳,在社交媒體上引發了爭議,一些人質疑比特幣僅僅是在跟隨黃金的價格走勢。

What Happened: Pseudonymous technical analyst TXMCtrades addressed the misconception, stating, that Bitcoin shares some properties with gold, such as being an "outside asset with no counterparty."

發生了什麼:化名技術分析師TXMCtrades解釋了這個誤解,稱比特幣與黃金有些共性,例如都是「沒有交易對手方的外部資產。」

Still, these similarities don't translate to identical market behavior, the analyst argued, as the key difference lies in the level of understanding and acceptance among investors.

然而,這些相似之處並不能轉化爲相同的市場行爲,分析師認爲,關鍵差異在於投資者對其的了解和接受程度。

Bitcoin and gold are "not meaningfully correlated," according to TXMCtrades.

根據TXMCtrades的觀點,比特幣和黃金「沒有實質相關性。」

"Bitcoin is more like a lost tech stock living in the crevice between passive cap-weighted flows into megacap equities and whatever crypto represents," they further outlined. This unique positioning reflects Bitcoin's hybrid nature as both a technological innovation and a potential store of value.

他們進一步指出:「比特幣更像是一隻失落的科技股,生活在被動資金流入巨型股票和加密貨幣之間的豁口裏。」 這種獨特的定位反映了比特幣作爲技術創新和潛在價值儲存的混合本質。

The analyst also pointed out that while Bitcoin maximalists may treat the cryptocurrency as "new gold," the majority of investors have yet to adopt this perspective. "No one can force them to," suggesting that widespread acceptance of Bitcoin as a gold-like asset may take time and significant market events.

分析師還指出,雖然比特幣極端主義者可能將加密貨幣視爲「新黃金」,但大多數投資者尚未採納這種觀點。 「沒有人能強迫他們這樣做」,這意味着比特幣作爲類似於黃金的資產的廣泛接受可能需要時間和重大市場事件。

Looking ahead, future financial crises could shift investor perceptions of Bitcoin and "we haven't experienced one big enough yet" to trigger such a fundamental change in how the broader market views cryptocurrency.

展望未來,未來的金融危機可能會改變投資者對比特幣的看法,我們還沒有經歷過足夠大的危機來觸發這種對於整個市場對數字貨幣看法的根本性變化。

While Bitcoin may eventually carve out a similar role to gold in investors' portfolios, its current market behavior suggests it's still on a unique trajectory.

儘管比特幣最終可能在投資者的投資組合中扮演類似黃金的角色,但其當前的市場行爲表明它仍處於獨特的軌跡上。

This is further evidenced by the fact that Bitcoin is yet to reach a new all-time when measured against gold.

這進一步證明了事實,即比特幣在與黃金相比的時候尚未達到新的歷史最高水平。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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