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Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002607) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002607) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

中公教育科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002607)26%的價格上漲與收入不協調
Simply Wall St ·  08/28 18:57

Offcn Education Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002607) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 58% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Offcn Education Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Services industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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SZSE:002607 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 28th 2024

What Does Offcn Education Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Offcn Education Technology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Keen to find out how analysts think Offcn Education Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Offcn Education Technology?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Offcn Education Technology would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 34%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 75% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 29% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 32% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Offcn Education Technology's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Offcn Education Technology's P/S

Offcn Education Technology appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given that Offcn Education Technology's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware Offcn Education Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Offcn Education Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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