China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Limited (HKG:966) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 18% is also fairly reasonable.
Even after such a large jump in price, China Taiping Insurance Holdings may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.9x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 9x and even P/E's higher than 17x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for China Taiping Insurance Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on China Taiping Insurance Holdings.
How Is China Taiping Insurance Holdings' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as China Taiping Insurance Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 78% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 32% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 14% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% per annum, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's peculiar that China Taiping Insurance Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
China Taiping Insurance Holdings' stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of China Taiping Insurance Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for China Taiping Insurance Holdings with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If you're unsure about the strength of China Taiping Insurance Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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