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Five Below Faces Mixed Analyst Reviews: Strategy Shift And Lower Growth Projections Pressure Stock

Five Below Faces Mixed Analyst Reviews: Strategy Shift And Lower Growth Projections Pressure Stock

five below面臨分歧的分析師評論:策略轉變和下調增長預期給股票帶來壓力
Benzinga ·  08/29 14:26

Five Below, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVE) released its second-quarter results yesterday.

五下公司(NASDAQ:FIVE)昨天發佈了其第二季度業績。

Analysts covering the company provided their takes:

分析師們對該公司的看法如下:

  • Goldman Sachs analyst Kate McShane maintains a Buy rating on the stock, lowering the price target from $124 to $106.
  • Truist Securities analyst Scot Ciccarelli reiterated the Hold rating, lowering the price forecast to $87 from $89.
  • JP Morgan analyst Matthew Boss maintained the Neutral rating, raising the price forecast to $89 from $86.
  • 高盛分析師凱特·麥肖恩(Kate McShane)維持對該股票的買入評級,將目標價從124美元降至106美元。
  • Truist Securities分析師斯科特·西卡雷利(Scot Ciccarelli)重申持有評級,將價格預測從89美元降至87美元。
  • JP摩根分析師馬修·博斯(Matthew Boss)維持中立評級,將價格預測從86美元上調至89美元。

Goldman Sachs: The analyst writes that the company's strategy to enhance value through a more targeted merchandising approach is promising, though it will require time to produce noticeable outcomes. McShane notes that while traffic remains positive, conversion rates are under pressure, with guidance suggesting that the comparable store sales trends for the second half of the year will be similar to the -5.7% observed in the second quarter.

高盛:分析師表示,該公司通過更有針對性的商品化戰略來增加價值的策略很有潛力,但需要時間才能產生明顯的效果。麥肖恩指出,儘管流量保持積極,但轉化率受到壓力,指導意見表明下半年的可比店鋪銷售趨勢將與第二季度的-5.7%相似。

The company intends to invest in labor and pricing, but these costs are anticipated to be balanced by savings elsewhere.

該公司打算在勞動力和定價方面進行投資,但這些成本預計會通過其他地方的節約來平衡。

The analyst has revised the store growth forecasts for FY25 and FY26, with the new projections set at 9.3% and 9.5% respectively, down from the previous estimates of 12.4% and 13.5%.

該分析師已調整了FY25和FY26的店鋪增長預測,新的預測分別設定爲9.3%和9.5%,低於之前的估計值12.4%和13.5%。

Also Read: Dollar General Q2 Earnings: Earnings Miss, Slashed Outlook And Shrinking Margins

此外閱讀:美國達樂公司第二季度業績:盈利下滑,業績展望降低和利潤率下降

Truist Securities: According to the analyst, although sales were slightly better than anticipated (comparable store sales fell 5.7% compared to the expected 6.5% decline), the company continues to experience a mid-single-digit decline and expects this trend to continue into the second half of the year.

根據分析師的論述,儘管銷售額略好於預期(同店銷售額下降了5.7%,而預期下降6.5%),但該公司的銷售額持續出現了一箇中個位數的下降趨勢,並預計這種趨勢將延續到今年下半年。

The company also intends to cut their SKU count by up to 20% and refocus on $1, $3, and $5 price points, marking a partial shift away from their 5 Beyond strategy.

該公司還打算減少其SKU數量高達20%,並重新聚焦於1美元、3美元和5美元的價格點,部分轉移其5 Beyond的策略。

Due to the lead times associated with this business, the analyst does not anticipate any significant changes in merchandising until around the second quarter of 2025.

由於與該業務相關的交貨週期,分析師預計到2025年第二季度左右,商品銷售策略不會有任何重大變化。

JP Morgan: Five Below aims for mid-teens unit growth and low-single-digit comparable store sales increases (around +2-4%), with margins expected to remain roughly flat, the analyst writes.

JP Morgan: Five Below的目標是實現中個位數的單位增長和低個位數的可比店面銷售增長(約+2-4%),分析師寫道。盈利率預計將保持大致不變。

The company faces a 3% fixed-cost hurdle, which should result in low-to-mid-teens EPS growth over the next several years, following a ~100 basis points improvement in operating margin through FY26 (compared to a pre-2019 bottom-line profile of over 20%).

該公司面臨着3%的固定成本障礙,在接下來的幾年中,預計每股收益將實現低到中個位數的增長,並且在2026財年之前,預計運營利潤率將提高約100個點子(相比2019年之前的淨利率水平超過20%)。

Over the last eight quarters (2022 and 2023), the firm's total basket has decreased year-over-year as consumers stick to tighter budgets.

在過去的八個季度(2022年和2023年),隨着消費者開始更加嚴格地控制預算,該公司的整體銷售額較上年同期有所下降。

Additionally, the analyst suggests that the contribution from the Five Beyond initiative will diminish in FY25 and further in FY26 as the overall comparable base grows each year.

此外,分析師指出,隨着總體可比基數每年都在增加,Five Beyond計劃的貢獻將會在2025財年減弱,並在2026財年進一步減弱。

Price Action: FIVE shares are trading higher by 0.18% to $79.08 at last check Thursday.

價格走勢:五低股票以0.18%的漲幅交易,報79.08美元,在上週四最後一次檢查時。

Photo by Mike Mozart from Wikimedia Commons

作者:邁克·莫扎特(Mike Mozart),出處:維基共享資源(Wikimedia Commons)

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