Earnings Miss: Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 39% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Earnings Miss: Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 39% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Shareholders might have noticed that Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688608) filed its first-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 6.9% to CN¥145 in the past week. Statutory earnings per share disappointed, coming in -39% short of expectations, at CN¥0.23. Fortunately revenue performance was a lot stronger at CN¥653m arriving 17% ahead of predictions. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Bestechnic (Shanghai) after the latest results.
股東們可能已經注意到上海百科(SHSE:688608)上週同期提交了其第一季度業績。初期反應並不積極,股價在過去一週下跌了6.9%,跌至人民幣145元。法定每股收益令人失望,較預期低39%,爲人民幣0.23。幸運的是,營業收入表現更爲強勁,達到了人民幣65300萬,比預期高出17%。分析師們通常會在每份業績報告後更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估算中判斷他們對公司的看法是否改變,或者是否有任何新的問題需要關注。讀者將會欣喜地得知,我們已彙總了最新的法定預測,以查看分析師在最新業績出來後是否改變了對上海百科的看法。
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Bestechnic (Shanghai)'s seven analysts is for revenues of CN¥3.14b in 2024. This reflects a decent 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 70% to CN¥3.16. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥3.00b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.78 in 2024. There's been a pretty noticeable increase in sentiment, with the analysts upgrading revenues and making a nice gain to earnings per share in particular.
考慮到最新的業績,上海百科的七位分析師一致預測,2024年營業收入將達到人民幣31.4億。這表明與過去12個月相比,營業收入將有不錯的12%增長。預測法定每股收益將躍升70%,達到人民幣3.16。在此份報告之前,分析師們曾對2024年的營業收入進行了建模,結果顯示人民幣30億,每股收益(EPS)爲人民幣2.78。情緒有相當明顯的提升,分析師們提升了營業收入,並特別提升了每股收益。
With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 6.8% to CN¥202per share. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Bestechnic (Shanghai) at CN¥226 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥180. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.
考慮到這些預測的提升,我們不意外地看到分析師將其價格目標上調了6.8%,達到了人民幣202元每股。查看分析師估值範圍也許也值得指導,以評估離群意見與平均值之間的差異。目前,最看好的分析師認爲上海百科的價值爲人民幣226元每股,而最看淡的則爲人民幣180。這些估值範圍較窄,可能表明該企業的未來相對容易估值,或者分析師對其前景有着堅定的看法。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Bestechnic (Shanghai)'shistorical trends, as the 17% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 17% annual growth over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 22% per year. So it's pretty clear that Bestechnic (Shanghai) is expected to grow slower than similar companies in the same industry.
我們可以從更大的背景中觀察這些估計值,比如與過去的業績相比如何,以及相對於行業其他公司的預測是更看好還是更看淡。從最新的估計值可以推斷出,預測認爲貝斯特尼克(上海)的歷史趨勢將持續下去,因爲到2024年底的年化營業收入增長率17%與過去三年的17%年增長率大致相當。相比之下,我們的數據顯示,在類似行業中,其他(有分析師覆蓋)公司的預測收入增長每年將會達到22%。因此,很明顯,貝斯特尼克(上海)的增長速度預計比同行業的其他公司要慢。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Bestechnic (Shanghai) following these results. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for next year, even though it is expected to grow slower than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
這裏最重要的是,分析師們提高了每股收益的預測,表明對貝斯特尼克(上海)的樂觀情緒有明顯增加。儘管預計增長速度較行業整體要慢,但他們還是提高了明年的營業收入預測。價格目標也有不錯的增加,分析師們明顯認爲該公司的內在價值正在提高。
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Bestechnic (Shanghai) going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
在這個前提下,我們仍然認爲業務的長期發展趨勢對於投資者來說更加重要。我們對貝斯特尼克(上海)的預測延伸到2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
You can also see our analysis of Bestechnic (Shanghai)'s Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.
您還可以看到我們對貝斯特尼克(上海)董事會和首席執行官薪酬和經驗的分析,以及公司內部人員是否一直在購買股票。
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