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交银国际:重申“买入”中国太平 下半年将加大分红险销售力度

Bocom Intl reiterates a "buy" rating on China Taiping and will increase dividend insurance sales efforts in the second half of the year.

新浪港股 ·  Aug 29 22:40

Bocom Intl released a research report, stating that China Taiping (00966) has performed outstandingly in both assets and liabilities, significantly exceeding expectations. The profit forecast has been raised, with an expected annual profit growth rate of over 40%. Based on a pb ratio of 0.4, the target price has been raised from 10.6 Hong Kong dollars to 11.6 Hong Kong dollars, maintaining a 'buy' rating.

The report points out that during the performance period, China Taiping's main business sectors have shown comprehensive and positive profit performance. In the first half of 2024, the net income attributable to the parent company increased by 15.4% year-on-year, and the profit scale has approached the level of the full year of 2023. The operating net profit increased by 19% year-on-year. Looking at the sectors, the growth mainly came from reinsurance and life insurance, contributing growth rates of 10.4 and 4.9 percentage points, respectively. Property insurance and asset management business also made positive contributions. The profit trends of the main business sectors are all positive: the operating net profit of life insurance increased by 4.9% year-on-year, the reinsurance business turned losses into gains, the comprehensive cost rate of domestic property insurance decreased by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the operating net profit of overseas property insurance increased by 75% year-on-year.

The rapid growth of new business value leads the industry, significantly exceeding expectations. The new business value increased by 85.5% year-on-year (83.6% in RMB terms), with individual insurance and bancassurance channels contributing 49.6 and 35.6 percentage points, respectively. The company has increased the weight of the new business value assessment and canceled the requirements for channel structure. The bancassurance channel contributed 26%, an increase of 14 percentage points year-on-year. The new business value rate is 24.6%, an increase of 12.4 percentage points year-on-year, with individual insurance and bancassurance channels increasing by 8.9 and 16.4 percentage points year-on-year, respectively. The increase in value rate is mainly due to the decrease in guaranteed interest rates, the integration of bank and insurance channels, and the impact of the extension of the product term in bank and insurance channels (a 26 percentage point increase in the proportion of 5-year contracts). In the second half of this year and next year, the company will increase the sales of dividend insurance policies. Bocom Intl expects the new business value in 2024 to grow by more than 50% year-on-year.

The investment income has shown strong performance, mainly due to the increase in capital gains brought about by the optimization of equity investment structure. In the first half of the year, investment assets grew by 9.4%, with net/total investment income increasing by 10.8%/57.1% year-on-year. The net investment return rate is 3.47%, a decrease of 0.16 percentage points year-on-year; the annualized total investment return rate is 5.27%, an increase of 1.38 percentage points year-on-year. Looking at the asset allocation, the proportion of bond investments increased by 4.6 percentage points compared to the end of the previous year, while the proportion of equity investments decreased by 2.8 percentage points. Real estate investment accounts for 4% of the investment assets, with investment properties accounting for 1.6% of the investment assets.

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