China Life Insurance (HKG:2628) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Increases 4.9% This Past Week
China Life Insurance (HKG:2628) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Increases 4.9% This Past Week
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term China Life Insurance Company Limited (HKG:2628) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 41% over a half decade.
爲了證明選擇個股投資的努力是值得的,努力超過市場指數基金的回報是值得的。但是,每位投資者幾乎肯定會有表現較好和表現較差的股票。因此,我們不會責怪長揸中國人壽保險股份有限公司(HKG:2628)股票的股東對他們的決定持懷疑態度,因爲該股五年來下跌了41%。
On a more encouraging note the company has added HK$15b to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
更令人鼓舞的是,該公司在過去7天中市值增加了150億港元,所以讓我們看看是什麼導致了股東們五年來的虧損。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
市場有時候是有效的,但價格並不總是反映公司的基本業務表現。通過比較每股收益和股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的看法如何隨着時間變化而變化。
Looking back five years, both China Life Insurance's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 4.2% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 10% per year, over the period. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days.
回顧過去五年,中國人壽保險的股價和每股收益均下降;後者每年下降4.2%。讀者應該注意,股價的下降速度超過了每股收益,每年下降10%,這意味着市場對該業務更加謹慎。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
我們很高興地報告,該公司CEO的薪酬比同等資本化公司的大多數CEO都要適度。關注CEO的薪酬很重要,但更重要的問題是公司能否在未來年份中增長收益。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細審查歷史增長趨勢,此處提供歷史增長趨勢。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of China Life Insurance, it has a TSR of -25% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
對於任何一隻股票,考慮總股東回報率以及股價回報率都是很重要的。TSR將考慮到任何分拆或折價的增發事項以及任何派息,假設派息再投資。可以說,TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了一個更完整的圖景。舉例來說,中國人壽近5年的TSR爲-25%。超過了我們之前提到的股價回報率。公司支付的派息因此提升了股東的總回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
China Life Insurance shareholders are down 1.8% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 7.2%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 5% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for China Life Insurance you should be aware of.
中國人壽保險股東今年下跌1.8%(包括分紅派息),而市場本身上漲了7.2%。 然而,需要牢記,即使是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月的週期內表現不佳。 但是,過去一年的損失並不像投資者在過去半個十年內每年損失5%那麼糟糕。 在認爲股價將會穩定之前,我們需要清晰的信息表明公司會增長。我覺得長期觀察股價作爲業務績效的一種替代方法非常有趣。 但爲了真正獲得洞察,我們也需要考慮其他信息。 舉例來說:我們發現了中國人壽保險的3個警示信號,您應該注意。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。