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The Five-year Loss for Neusoft (SHSE:600718) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

The Five-year Loss for Neusoft (SHSE:600718) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

东软(SHSE:600718)股东的五年亏损可能是由盈利缩水驱动的
Simply Wall St ·  08/30 18:07

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Neusoft Corporation (SHSE:600718) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 33% over a half decade. But it's up 7.1% in the last week.

理想情况下,您的整体投资组合应该超过市场平均水平。但每个投资者几乎肯定会持有表现良好和表现不佳的股票。因此,我们不会责怪长期持有东软集团 (SHSE:600718) 的股东对他们的决定产生质疑,因为该股票在过去五年中下跌了33%。但在过去一周里,它上涨了7.1%。

While the last five years has been tough for Neusoft shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管过去五年对东软集团股东来说并不容易,但过去一周已经显示出了希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看长期基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动因素。

We don't think that Neusoft's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

我们认为东软集团目前的较低的过去十二个月盈利并没有完全吸引市场的关注。我们认为营业收入可能是一个更好的指标。一般来说,我们会将这样的股票与亏损企业相提并论,因为利润的规模非常低。如果没有增长的营业收入,很难相信会有更多盈利的未来。

In the last half decade, Neusoft saw its revenue increase by 7.9% per year. That's a pretty good rate for a long time period. We doubt many shareholders are ok with the fact the share price has fallen 6% each year for half a decade. Clearly, the expectations from back then have not been satisfied. There is always a big risk of losing money yourself when you buy shares in a company that loses money.

在过去的五年中,东软集团的营业收入每年增长7.9%。这是一个相当不错的速度,时间跨度很长。我们怀疑很多股东不会满意股价在过去半个世纪每年下跌6%的事实。显然,当你购买一家亏损的公司的股票时,你自己也存在很大的亏损风险。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

1725055631149
SHSE:600718 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 30th 2024
SHSE:600718的盈利和营业收入增长情况截至2024年8月30日

We know that Neusoft has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我们知道东软集团最近改善了其底部线,但未来会怎样呢?因此我们建议查看这份免费报告,显示共识预测。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market lost about 11% in the twelve months, Neusoft shareholders did even worse, losing 18% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Neusoft .

尽管整个市场在过去的十二个月中下跌了11%,但东软集团股东的表现更糟糕,损失了18%(包括分红)。虽然如此,在下跌市场中可能会有一些被卖得过度的股票。关键是要密切关注基本面的发展情况。不幸的是,去年的业绩可能暗示了尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年半的年化损失6%还要糟糕。我们知道罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过投资者应该在“街上流血时买入”,但我们提醒投资者首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。对我来说,长期观察股价作为业务绩效的代理非常有趣,但要真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该了解我们在东软集团发现的两个警示信号。

Of course Neusoft may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,东软集团可能不是最佳的买入股票。因此,您可能希望查看这份免费的成长股收藏。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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