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Time To Worry? Analysts Are Downgrading Their TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603712) Outlook

Time To Worry? Analysts Are Downgrading Their TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603712) Outlook

时机要担心吗?分析师们正在下调对天津712通信传媒股份有限公司(SHSE:603712)的展望
Simply Wall St ·  2024/08/30 18:38

The analysts covering TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603712) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

分析师们对天津712通讯传媒股份有限公司(SHSE:603712)今天对股东们带来了一剂消极的因素,通过对今年的财务预测进行了大幅修正。预计营业收入和每股收益(EPS)的预测都下调了,分析师们看到了乌云密布的局面。

Following the downgrade, the current consensus from TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting's three analysts is for revenues of CN¥4.3b in 2024 which - if met - would reflect a substantial 40% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to leap 131% to CN¥0.90. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥4.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.02 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a considerable drop in earnings per share numbers as well.

在下调之后,天津712通讯传媒的三名分析师目前共识是,2024年营业额将达到43亿人民币,如果实现的话,将比过去12个月的销售额大幅增长40%。预计每股收益将增长131%至0.90人民币。在此次最新更新之前,分析师们预测2024年的营业收入将达到49亿人民币,每股收益(EPS)将达到1.02人民币。看起来分析师的情绪大幅下降,预计的营收和每股收益都大幅下降。

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SHSE:603712 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 30th 2024
SHSE:603712股票的盈利和营收增长情况于2024年8月30日

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 17% to CN¥22.48.

可以毫不意外地得知,分析师们将其价格目标下调了17%,至22.48人民币。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 40% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 13% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 21% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

当然,看待这些预测的另一种方式是将其与行业本身进行对比。从最新的预测来看,天津712通讯传媒的增长速度有望明显加快,预计到2024年底,年化营收增长率将达到40%,明显快于过去五年的13%的历史增长率。与同行业其他公司预计每年增长21%的营收相比,可以清晰地看出,天津712通讯传媒的增长速度预计明显快于行业。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting. While analysts did downgrade their revenue estimates, these forecasts still imply revenues will perform better than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting.

新估计中最大的问题是分析师调低了每股收益预期,这意味着天津712通讯广播面临商业风险。尽管分析师对营业收入预期进行了下调,但这些预测仍然表明营业收入将好于整个市场。由于对今年预期大幅下调以及目标股价下跌,我们不会感到意外,如果投资者开始对天津712通讯广播感到担忧。

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for TianJin 712 Communication & Broadcasting going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

即使如此,业务的长期发展轨迹对股东的价值创造更加重要。在Simply Wall St,我们对天津712通讯广播到2026年的分析师预估进行了全面覆盖,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

当然,看到公司管理层投入大量资金投资股票的情况与分析师是否对其评级下调一样有用。因此,您还可以搜索此处的高内部所有权股票的免费列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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