SinoSun Technology Co. Ltd. (SZSE:300333) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking SinoSun Technology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 13.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 3.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does SinoSun Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
It looks like revenue growth has deserted SinoSun Technology recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the benign revenue growth will improve to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for SinoSun Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as SinoSun Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 25% overall from three years ago. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that SinoSun Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From SinoSun Technology's P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to SinoSun Technology's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that SinoSun Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Having said that, be aware SinoSun Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of SinoSun Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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