share_log

Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's (SHSE:603787) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's (SHSE:603787) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

新日股份(SHSE:603787)的低迷收益可能只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  08/30 19:46

The market rallied behind Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603787) stock, leading do a rise in the share price after its recent weak earnings report. We think that shareholders might be missing some concerning factors that our analysis found.

市场在新日股份(SHSE:603787)的股票后市的反弹中站在了一边,导致股价在最近公布的财报后出现上涨。我们认为股东可能忽略了我们分析发现的一些令人担忧的因素。

1725061594170
SHSE:603787 Earnings and Revenue History August 30th 2024
SHSE:603787盈利和营业收入历史数据 2024年8月30日

Examining Cashflow Against Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's Earnings

分析现金流与新日股份的盈利情况

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

用于衡量公司如何将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一个关键财务比率是预提账户。简单地说,这个比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将那个数字除以该期间公司的平均营运资产。该比率显示了一个公司的利润超过了其FCF的多少。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负的应计比率对公司是有利的,而正的应计比率则有害。虽然应计比率高于零不是什么大问题,但当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,我们认为值得注意。因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润较低或利润增长较少。

For the year to June 2024, Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle had an accrual ratio of 1.17. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥473m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥91.2m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥473m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年6月的年度,新日股份的应计比率为1.17。一般来说,这对未来的盈利前景不利。具体来说,在那段时间内公司没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去的一年里,与前述盈利相比,其实际自由现金流为人民币47300万,呈现负值。考虑到公司去年的负向自由现金流,我们想象一些股东可能会疑惧其今年的人民币47300万的现金燃烧是否表明高风险。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对新日股份资产负债表的分析。

Our Take On Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's Profit Performance

关于新日股份盈利表现的看法

As we discussed above, we think Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 11% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).

正如我们上面讨论的,我们认为新日股份的盈利并不是由自由现金流支持的,这可能会引起一些投资者的担忧。出于这个原因,我们认为新日股份的法定利润可能不是其潜在盈利能力的好指南,并可能给投资者留下过分积极的印象。但至少持有人可以从过去三年每股收益每年增长11%中得到一些慰藉。最重要的是,如果您想正确了解该公司,就必须考虑不止上述因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有充分了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。为此,您应该了解我们在新日股份上发现的两个警示信号(其中有一个可能有点令人不愉快)。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天,我们将聚焦于一个数据点,以更好地了解新日股份利润的性质。但了解一个公司的观点还有很多其他方法。一些人认为股本回报率高是一个优质企业的良好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这些股东拥有高比例股权的公司的免费收藏,或者查看具有高内部持股比例的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有任何反馈?对内容有任何疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发