It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But when the market is down, you're bound to have some losers. The Electric Connector Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300679) is down 18% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -16% once you include the dividend. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 24%. It's down 20% in about a quarter. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 15% in the same timeframe.
While the last three years has been tough for Electric Connector Technology shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Although the share price is down over three years, Electric Connector Technology actually managed to grow EPS by 13% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
With a rather small yield of just 1.1% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 3.4% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Electric Connector Technology further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that Electric Connector Technology has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Electric Connector Technology
A Different Perspective
Although it hurts that Electric Connector Technology returned a loss of 7.6% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 11%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Electric Connector Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
