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It's Down 26% But Destination XL Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:DXLG) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 31 09:51

Destination XL Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:DXLG) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 41% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Destination XL Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.4x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Destination XL Group has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

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NasdaqGM:DXLG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 31st 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Destination XL Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Destination XL Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 56%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 28% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 9.7% per annum during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% each year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Destination XL Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

The softening of Destination XL Group's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Destination XL Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Destination XL Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Destination XL Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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