Celebrations may be in order for Ginlong Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300763) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant upgrade to their statutory estimates for the company. Consensus estimates suggest investors could expect greatly increased statutory revenues and earnings per share, with analysts modelling a real improvement in business performance. The stock price has risen 8.3% to CN¥59.60 over the past week, suggesting investors are becoming more optimistic. It will be interesting to see if this latest upgrade is enough to kickstart further buying interest in the stock.
After this upgrade, Ginlong Technologies' seven analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥7.8b in 2024. This would be a sizeable 26% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 108% to CN¥2.63. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥7.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.26 in 2024. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analysts substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.
Although the analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of CN¥60.61, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Ginlong Technologies' past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Ginlong Technologies' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 58% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 36% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 16% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Ginlong Technologies to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, with improved earnings power expected for this year. Fortunately, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. Some investors might be disappointed to see that the price target is unchanged, but we feel that improving fundamentals are usually a positive - assuming these forecasts are met! So Ginlong Technologies could be a good candidate for more research.
These earnings upgrades look like a sterling endorsement, but before diving in - you should know that we've spotted 5 potential warning signs with Ginlong Technologies, including dilutive stock issuance over the past year. You can learn more, and discover the 2 other warning signs we've identified, for free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.