Shenzhen Senior Technology Material Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Shenzhen Senior Technology Material Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
It's shaping up to be a tough period for Shenzhen Senior Technology Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300568), which a week ago released some disappointing quarterly results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. It looks like quite a negative result overall, with both revenues and earnings falling well short of analyst predictions. Revenues of CN¥939m missed by 14%, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.10 fell short of forecasts by 67%. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Shenzhen Senior Technology Material after the latest results.
對於深圳賽尼爾科技材料有限公司(SZSE: 300568)來說,這將是一個艱難的時期,該公司一週前發佈了一些令人失望的季度業績,可能會對市場對該股的看法產生顯著影響。總體而言,這似乎是一個相當負面的結果,收入和收益都遠低於分析師的預期。93900萬元人民幣的收入下降了14%,0.10元人民幣的法定每股收益比預期低67%。根據結果,分析師更新了他們的盈利模式,很高興知道他們是否認爲公司的前景發生了巨大變化,或者業務是否照舊。讀者會很高興得知我們已經彙總了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師在最新業績公佈後是否改變了對深圳森瑞科技材料的看法。
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Following the latest results, Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's ten analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥3.88b in 2024. This would be a solid 17% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to step up 15% to CN¥0.38. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥4.09b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.66 in 2024. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share numbers.
根據最新業績,深圳森尼爾科技材料的十位分析師現在預測2024年的收入爲38.8元人民幣。與過去12個月相比,這將使收入穩步增長17%。每股收益預計將增長15%,至0.38元人民幣。在本報告發布之前,分析師一直在模擬2024年的收入爲40.9元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲0.66元人民幣。在最近的業績公佈後,分析師似乎不那麼樂觀,他們下調了收入預期,並嚴重減少了每股收益數字。
Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the CN¥11.43 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Shenzhen Senior Technology Material, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥21.00 and the most bearish at CN¥5.20 per share. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
儘管下調了預期收益,但11.43元人民幣的目標股價沒有實際變化,這表明分析師認爲這些變化不會對其內在價值產生有意義的影響。但是,這並不是我們可以從這些數據中得出的唯一結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師目標股價時也喜歡考慮估計值的差異。對深圳高級科技材料的看法有所不同,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲21.00元人民幣,最看跌的爲每股5.20元人民幣。由於目標股價範圍如此之廣,幾乎可以肯定,分析師押注基礎業務的業績差異很大。考慮到這一點,我們不會過分依賴共識目標股價,因爲它只是一個平均水平,分析師對該業務的看法顯然存在嚴重分歧。
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 37% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 34% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 15% annually. So although Shenzhen Senior Technology Material is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
這些估計很有趣,但是在查看預測與深圳高級科技材料公司過去的表現以及與同一行業的同行進行比較時,可以更粗略地描述一些細節。分析師表示,截至2024年底將帶來更多相同的情況,收入按年計算預計將增長37%。這與其在過去五年中34%的年增長率一致。相比之下,分析師估計(總計),整個行業的收入將每年增長15%。因此,儘管預計深圳森尼爾科技材料將保持其收入增長率,但其增長速度肯定會超過整個行業。
The Bottom Line
底線
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. They also downgraded Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's revenue estimates, but industry data suggests that it is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥11.43, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
要了解的最重要的一點是,分析師下調了每股收益的預期,這表明公佈這些業績後,市場情緒明顯下降。他們還下調了深圳高科材料的收入預期,但行業數據表明,預計其增長速度將快於整個行業。共識目標股價穩定在11.43元人民幣,最新估計不足以對其目標價格產生影響。
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Shenzhen Senior Technology Material. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Shenzhen Senior Technology Material going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
考慮到這一點,我們不會很快就深圳高級科技材料得出結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我們有分析師對深圳高級科技材料到2026年的全方位估計,你可以在我們的平台上免費看到這些估計。
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Shenzhen Senior Technology Material (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
還值得注意的是,我們已經發現了深圳賽諾科技材料的4個警告信號(1個可能很嚴重!)這是你需要考慮的。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。