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Dalian Thermal Power Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600719) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 36% Price Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 31 21:16

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Dalian Thermal Power Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600719) shares are down a considerable 36% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 31% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Dalian Thermal PowerLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Integrated Utilities industry have P/S ratios below 2.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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SHSE:600719 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 1st 2024

How Dalian Thermal PowerLtd Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Dalian Thermal PowerLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Dalian Thermal PowerLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Dalian Thermal PowerLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Dalian Thermal PowerLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 20%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 5.3% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 5.6% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dalian Thermal PowerLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Dalian Thermal PowerLtd's P/S?

Dalian Thermal PowerLtd's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Dalian Thermal PowerLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Dalian Thermal PowerLtd you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Dalian Thermal PowerLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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