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We Think Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech's (SZSE:002106) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

We Think Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech's (SZSE:002106) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve

我們認爲萊寶高科(SZSE:002106)的利潤僅僅是他們可以實現的基準
Simply Wall St ·  09/01 20:39

Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002106) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite the decent profit numbers. We have done some analysis and have found some comforting factors beneath the profit numbers.

萊寶高科(SZSE:002106)上週的盈利公告令投資者感到失望,儘管盈利數字還算不錯。我們進行了一些分析,並發現了在盈利數字之下的一些令人欣慰的因素。

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SZSE:002106 Earnings and Revenue History September 2nd 2024
SZSE:002106 營業收入和利潤歷史數據 2024年9月2日

Zooming In On Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech's Earnings

深圳萊寶高科盈利專題

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者沒有聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是一個有用的衡量公司利潤在一個給定期間內被自由現金流(FCF)支持的度量衡。爲了得到應計比率,我們首先需要在一個期間內將FCF從利潤中減去,然後將該數額除以該期間平均營運資產。您可以認爲現金流應計比率是「非FCF盈利比率」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負面預提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司所獲得的自由現金流比其利潤所示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正面的預提比率,但值得注意的是,如果預提比率很高的話就要考慮這個問題。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文:「預提較高的公司未來的盈利能力較低」。

Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech has an accrual ratio of -0.14 for the year to June 2024. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥557m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥389.5m. Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.

萊寶高科截至2024年6月的年度應計比率爲-0.14。這意味着它具有非常良好的現金轉化能力,其上一年度的盈利實際上明顯低估了其自由現金流。事實上,在這段時間內,它創造了5.57億元人民幣的自由現金流,遠遠超過其報告的3.895億元人民幣的利潤。萊寶高科的自由現金流實際上在過去一年中有所下降,這令人失望,就像那些不可降解的氣球一樣。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對萊寶高科資產負債表的分析。

Our Take On Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech's Profit Performance

我們對萊寶高科的盈利表現持樂觀態度。

Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 22% over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech you should know about.

萊寶高科的應計比率穩定,表明有強大的自由現金流,正如我們之前所討論的。因此,我們認爲萊寶高科的盈利潛力至少與看起來一樣好,甚至可能更好!每股收益在過去12個月增長了22%。總之,要正確了解這家公司,必須考慮到不僅僅是上述因素。鑑於此,如果您想對該公司進行更多分析,了解涉及的風險非常重要。每家公司都有風險,我們發現了1個萊寶高科的警示徵兆,希望您知道。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shenzhen Laibao Hi-Tech's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

這篇文章只關注了能夠揭示萊寶高科盈利性質的一個因素。但是還有很多其他方法可以幫助您了解一家公司。例如,許多人認爲股東權益高回報是良好商業經濟的指標,而其他人則喜歡「追蹤資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這個免費的高回報股票收藏庫,或者這個持有重要內部人士的股票列表非常有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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