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Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd's (SHSE:603970) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd's (SHSE:603970) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

中农立华生物科技(SHSE:603970)的稳健盈利可能建立在脆弱的基础之上
Simply Wall St ·  09/01 20:46

The market for Sino-Agri Leading Biosciences Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603970) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. While the profit numbers were good, our analysis has found some concerning factors that shareholders should be aware of.

中农领先生物科学有限公司的市场, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:603970)的股票在上周发布了健康的收益报告后表现强劲。尽管利润数字不错,但我们的分析发现了一些股东应该注意的令人担忧的因素。

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SHSE:603970 Earnings and Revenue History September 2nd 2024
SHSE: 603970 2024 年 9 月 2 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd's Earnings

仔细研究中农领先生物科学有限公司的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如财务爱好者已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与其利润相匹配程度的关键指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以公司在此期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司有多少利润没有自由现金流支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.69. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥230.6m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥630m in the last year. It's worth noting that Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd generated positive FCF of CN¥682m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

在截至2024年6月的十二个月中,中农领先生物科学有限公司的应计比率为0.69。通常,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个坏兆头。事实上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管该公司报告的利润为23060万元人民币,但看一下自由现金流就会发现,去年它实际上消耗了63000万加元人民币。值得注意的是,中农领先生物科学有限公司一年前创造了68200万元人民币的正FCF,因此至少他们过去曾这样做过。对股东来说,好消息是,中农领先生物科学有限公司去年的应计比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕数据可能只是利润与FCF之间短期不匹配的情况。因此,一些股东可能希望在本年度实现更强的现金转换。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd's Profit Performance

我们对中农领先生物科学有限公司盈利表现的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 52% over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd (1 can't be ignored) you should be familiar with.

正如我们已经明确指出的那样,我们有点担心中农领先生物科学有限公司没有用自由现金流来支持去年的利润。出于这个原因,我们认为Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd的法定利润可能不利于其潜在盈利能力,并可能使投资者对该公司产生过于积极的印象。尽管如此,仍然值得注意的是,其每股收益在过去三年中增长了52%。本文的目标是评估我们在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多需要考虑的地方。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它面临的任何风险至关重要。例如,我们已经确定了你应该熟悉的Sino-Agri Leading BioscencesLtd的两个警告信号(其中一个不容忽视)。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sino-Agri Leading BiosciencesLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天,我们放大了单一数据点,以更好地了解中农领先生物科学有限公司利润的性质。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份拥有高股本回报率的公司的免费集合,或者这份内部所有权高的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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