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Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for West Shanghai Automotive ServiceLtd (SHSE:605151) Shareholders

Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for West Shanghai Automotive ServiceLtd (SHSE:605151) Shareholders

盈利困難可能預示着西上海汽車服務有限公司(SHSE:605151)股東面臨更大的問題。
Simply Wall St ·  09/02 02:45

The subdued market reaction suggests that West Shanghai Automotive Service Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:605151) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

在西上海汽車服務股份有限公司(SHSE:605151)最近的盈利中,市場反應疲軟,似乎沒有任何意外。我們的分析表明,除了低收益之外,投資者還應該注意一些其他潛在的弱點。

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SHSE:605151 Earnings and Revenue History September 2nd 2024
SHSE:605151的收益和營業收入歷史記錄(2024年9月2日)

A Closer Look At West Shanghai Automotive ServiceLtd's Earnings

更仔細地觀察西上海汽車服務有限公司的收益情況

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

作爲金融迷,大家應該已經知道,從現金流量中的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配情況的關鍵指標之一。 換句話說,該比率將FCF從淨利潤中扣除,並將該數值除以公司在該期間內的平均營運資產。 該比率顯示我們公司盈利超過了自由現金流的多少。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比利潤預示的要多。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們認爲值得注意的是,當公司應計比率相對較高時。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇論文:「應計較高的公司未來可能不那麼有盈利能力」。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, West Shanghai Automotive ServiceLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥50m despite its profit of CN¥111.7m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥50m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在2023年6月至2024年6月的十二個月內,西上海汽車服務有限公司的應計比率爲0.21。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流明顯低於其報告的利潤。在過去的十二個月中,儘管盈利達到1,117萬元人民幣,但實際上出現了負自由現金流,流出了5000萬元人民幣。繼去年出現負自由現金流後,我們可以想象一些股東是否會擔心今年的5,000萬元人民幣的現金燒損是否意味着高風險。儘管如此,故事還有更多內容。應計比率在一定程度上反映了非常規項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of West Shanghai Automotive ServiceLtd.

注:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對西上海汽車服務有限公司資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that West Shanghai Automotive ServiceLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥14m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考慮到應計比率並不過高,西上海汽車服務有限公司在過去的十二個月中因爲價值爲1400萬人民幣的飛凡項目而獲得了利潤提升。雖然利潤增加總是好事,但是飛凡項目的大額貢獻有時會減弱我們的熱情。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了數據分析,發現飛凡項目通常只會出現一次。畢竟,這就是會計術語的含義。假設這些飛凡項目在當前年份不再出現,我們預計下一年的利潤會較弱(在不存在業務增長的情況下)。

Our Take On West Shanghai Automotive ServiceLtd's Profit Performance

我們對西上海汽車服務有限公司的利潤表現的看法

West Shanghai Automotive ServiceLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue West Shanghai Automotive ServiceLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for West Shanghai Automotive ServiceLtd (1 is potentially serious!) and we strongly recommend you look at these bad boys before investing.

儘管西上海汽車服務有限公司的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實因飛凡項目而得到了提升。考慮到這一切,我們認爲西上海汽車服務有限公司的利潤可能過於樂觀地反映了其可持續盈利水平。在這種情況下,除非我們對風險有全面的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資該股票。我們的分析發現了西上海汽車服務有限公司的兩個警示信號(其中一個可能非常嚴重!)我們強烈建議您在投資之前仔細研究這些問題。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

在這篇文章中,我們已經看到了許多可以削弱利潤數字實用性的因素,並且我們留下了審慎的心態。但是,如果您能夠專注於細節,那麼總能發現更多。一些人認爲高股東回報率是優質企業的良好跡象。儘管這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這個高股東回報率公司列表或至少有一個重要內部持股的股票列表對您有所幫助。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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