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Why Hootech's (SZSE:301026) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 2 03:26

Investors signalled that they were pleased with Hootech Inc.'s (SZSE:301026) most recent earnings report. According to our analysis of the report, the strong headline profit numbers are supported by strong earnings fundamentals.

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SZSE:301026 Earnings and Revenue History September 2nd 2024

A Closer Look At Hootech's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Hootech recorded an accrual ratio of -0.24. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥498m, well over the CN¥127.6m it reported in profit. Notably, Hootech had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥498m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hootech.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Hootech's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥28m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Hootech to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On Hootech's Profit Performance

In conclusion, both Hootech's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. After considering all this, we reckon Hootech's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Hootech at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Hootech you should be mindful of and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

After our examination into the nature of Hootech's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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