What Qingdao Guolin Technology Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300786) P/S Is Not Telling You
What Qingdao Guolin Technology Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300786) P/S Is Not Telling You
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Electrical industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, Qingdao Guolin Technology Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300786) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 4.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
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How Has Qingdao Guolin Technology GroupLtd Performed Recently?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Qingdao Guolin Technology GroupLtd as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Qingdao Guolin Technology GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Qingdao Guolin Technology GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 46% last year. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it concerning that Qingdao Guolin Technology GroupLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Qingdao Guolin Technology GroupLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Qingdao Guolin Technology GroupLtd that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Qingdao Guolin Technology GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.