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Investors Don't See Light At End Of Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300391) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 2 20:08

Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300391) shares have retraced a considerable 28% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 46% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, considering around half the companies operating in China's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.8x, you may consider Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group as an solid investment opportunity with its 1.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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SZSE:300391 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 3rd 2024

What Does Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.2% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 40% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we understand why Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's P/S

The southerly movements of Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Changjiang Pharmaceutical Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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