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瑞士8月CPI放缓幅度超预期 料支持瑞士央行9月再降息

The August CPI slowdown in Swiss franc is larger than expected, and it is expected to support the Swiss National Bank to cut interest rates again in September.

Zhitong Finance ·  03:21

Swiss inflation slowed more than expected in August, providing support for the country's central bank to cut interest rates again.

According to the information from the Securities Times app, data released on Tuesday showed that Swiss CPI rose by 1.1% year-on-year in August, lower than the previous value of 1.3% and the market's expectation of 1.3%. Swiss inflation slowed more than expected in August, providing support for the country's central bank to cut interest rates again.

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The data shows that the costs of transportation, heating oil, and international holiday packages have all decreased, offsetting the impact of rising rents and prices of clothing and footwear. In addition, the core CPI (excluding fresh and seasonal products as well as energy) increased by 1.1% year-on-year.

The Swiss National Bank unexpectedly chose to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in March this year, starting the easing cycle earlier than other major central banks globally, and lowered rates by another 25 basis points in June. Economists currently expect the Swiss National Bank to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points at the policy meeting at the end of this month, bringing the benchmark rate to 1%.

Swiss inflation slowing down and the strong Swiss Franc support the prospect of the Swiss National Bank cutting interest rates. Analysts are particularly concerned that if the European Central Bank follows the Swiss National Bank's rate cut pace (the frequency of ECB policy meetings is twice that of the Swiss National Bank), the Swiss Franc may receive a boost.

Additionally, Swiss central bank officials predict that driven by domestic services, the CPI will grow by an average of 1.5% in the third quarter, and then is expected to slow down, reaching 1% by 2026.

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