With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.5x Jiangsu Pacific Quartz Co., Ltd (SHSE:603688) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 27x and even P/E's higher than 52x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Jiangsu Pacific Quartz has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
How Is Jiangsu Pacific Quartz's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Jiangsu Pacific Quartz's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 1,477% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 14% each year as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 21% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's understandable that Jiangsu Pacific Quartz's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Jiangsu Pacific Quartz maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Jiangsu Pacific Quartz.
You might be able to find a better investment than Jiangsu Pacific Quartz. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.