There Might Be More To Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd's (SHSE:688716) Story Than Just Weak Earnings
There Might Be More To Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd's (SHSE:688716) Story Than Just Weak Earnings
Jilin Joinature Polymer Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688716) weak earnings were disregarded by the market. While shares were up, we believe there are some factors in the earnings report that might cause investors some concerns.
亞聯發展(Jilin Joinature Polymer Co.,Ltd., SHSE:688716)的弱盈利被市場所忽略。儘管股票上漲,但我們認爲業績中有一些因素可能引起投資者的擔憂。
Examining Cashflow Against Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd's Earnings
審查現金流與亞聯發展(Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd)的盈利
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如財務控制狂所知,從現金流中的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計比率從給定期間的FCF中減去利潤,並將結果除以公司在該時間內的平均經營資產。該比率告訴我們公司利潤中有多少不受自由現金流支持。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,當一個公司有一個負的應計比率時,實際上是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率是正的,那就是一件壞事。雖然有一個正的應計比率並不是一個問題,表明了一定程度的非現金利潤,但高的應計比率則是一個壞事,因爲它表明紙上的利潤不與現金流匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的論文,「應計比率更高的公司未來的盈利能力往往更低。」
For the year to June 2024, Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.33. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥84m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥48.5m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥84m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
在2024年6月底的一年裏,亞聯發展(Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd)的應計比率爲0.33。因此,我們可以推斷其自由現金流遠遠不足以覆蓋其法定利潤,這意味着我們在給後者很大的權重之前可能要三思。在過去的一年中,它實際上有負自由現金流人民幣8400萬,而前述的利潤爲人民幣4850萬。在負自由現金流的基礎上,我們可以想象一些股東可能會對今年的8400萬元現金消耗是否表示高風險感到疑惑。話雖如此,故事還不止這些。我們可以看到,非常規項目影響了其法定利潤和應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。單擊此處查看我們對亞聯發展(Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd)資產負債表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥15m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
公司上年度出現飛凡項目,使利潤增加了1500萬人民幣,這可能解釋了爲什麼其應計比率如此低。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常讓我們感到樂觀,但我們更希望利潤能夠持續增長。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大的飛凡項目往往不會重複出現。畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。我們可以看到,亞聯發展在2024年6月的正常利潤相對較高。其他條件相同的情況下,這可能導致執行利潤對潛在盈利能力的引導不準確。
Our Take On Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd's Profit Performance
對亞聯發展的利潤表現的我們看法
Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Jilin Joinature PolymerLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.
亞聯發展的應計比率較低,但其利潤得到了飛凡項目的推動。考慮到這一切,我們認爲亞聯發展的利潤可能過高地給人以其可持續盈利能力的印象。鑑於此,如果您想對公司進行更多分析,了解涉及的風險是至關重要的。例如,我們已經發現了2個警示信號(其中1個不太令人滿意),您應該了解。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在本文中,我們已經看到了可以損害利潤數字實用性的許多因素,而且我們已經變得謹慎。但是,如果您能夠將注意力集中在細節上,則總有更多發現。有些人認爲高淨資產回報率是高質量企業的一個好標誌。因此,您可能希望查看這個高淨資產回報率的免費公司收集,或這個高內部所有權的股票清單。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。