Is Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600033) A Risky Investment?
Is Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600033) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Fujian Expressway Development Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600033) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人認爲,作爲投資者,波動性而不是債務是思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特卻著名地說:「波動性遠非風險的同義詞。」 當你考慮一家公司的風險時,自然而然地會考慮到其資產負債表,因爲債務往往與業務崩潰有關。 重要的是,福建高速發展股份有限公司(SHSE:600033)確實有債務。 但更重要的問題是:這筆債務帶來了多少風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,只有當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是使用其自己的現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行其償還債務的法定義務,股東可能最終拿不到任何東西。不過,更常見的(但仍然昂貴)情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,以控制債務。話雖如此,通常的情況是公司合理地管理債務 - 並且獲得了自身利益。當我們思考公司的債務利用時,我們首先看現金和債務。
What Is Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd's Net Debt?
福建高速發展股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd had CN¥1.02b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥1.27b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.60b in cash, so it actually has CN¥577.5m net cash.
正如下面所示,福建高速發展股份有限公司在2024年6月份有1.02億人民幣的債務,低於一年前的1.27億人民幣。 然而,其資產負債表顯示其持有1.6億人民幣的現金,因此實際上有5750萬人民幣的淨現金。

How Strong Is Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd's Balance Sheet?
福建高速發展有限公司的資產負債表強嗎?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.80b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.47b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.60b and CN¥987.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥693.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
從最新的資產負債表中可以看出,福建高速發展有限公司短期內到期的負債爲18億人民幣,在此之外到期的負債爲14.7億人民幣。另一方面,該公司現金爲16億人民幣,短期內到期的應收款爲98700萬人民幣。因此,其負債總計超過現金和短期應收款的總和達到69390萬人民幣。
Since publicly traded Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥9.17b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
由於上市公司福建高速發展有限公司的股票市值總計爲91.7億人民幣,所以這個負債水平似乎不會構成重大威脅。但是,負債仍然存在,我們建議股東繼續關注公司的資產負債表情況。儘管負債較多,福建高速發展有限公司淨現金充裕,所以可以說其債務負擔並不沉重!
The good news is that Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd has increased its EBIT by 6.9% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
好消息是,福建高速發展有限公司過去12個月EBIT增長了6.9%,這應該緩解對債務償還的擔憂。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時的關鍵。但是,你不能把債務孤立起來看;因爲福建高速發展有限公司需要盈利來償還債務。因此,如果你對其盈利情況感興趣,不妨查看一下其長期盈利趨勢的圖表。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
最後,一家公司只能用現金還清債務,而不能用會計利潤。福建高速發展有限公司的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但是了解其業務將利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力和需求是非常有趣的,因爲這將影響其管理債務的能力。在過去的三年中,福建高速發展有限公司實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIT還要多。這種強勁的現金生成能力讓我們倍感溫暖,就像穿着大黃蜂服的小狗一樣。
Summing Up
總之
We could understand if investors are concerned about Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥577.5m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.4b, being 101% of its EBIT. So is Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Fujian Expressway DevelopmentLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
我們可以理解投資者對福建高速公路發展有限公司的債務感到擔憂,但是我們可以放心的是,該公司擁有淨現金57750萬人民幣。 而且,它的自由現金流達到了14億人民幣,相當於EBIT的101%。 所以,福建高速公路發展有限公司的債務是否構成風險?在我們看來似乎並非如此。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解到最多關於債務的信息。但是最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。請注意,在我們的投資分析中發現,福建高速公路發展有限公司出現了1個警示標誌,您應該了解一下...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。