We Think Novanta (NASDAQ:NOVT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Novanta (NASDAQ:NOVT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Novanta Inc. (NASDAQ:NOVT) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持的)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。” 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致破产。 与许多其他公司一样,纳斯达克纳斯达克(Novanta Inc.)利用债务。 但这种债务会让股东担忧吗?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
当公司无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来轻松地履行债务时,债务和其他负债将对公司构成风险。资本主义的本质是‘创造性破坏’,失败的企业无情地被银行家清算。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是公司必须通过低廉的股票价格稀释股东权益才能将债务控制在可控范围内。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务并在其自身利益之内。在考虑企业使用了多少债务时,需要首先查看其现金和债务的情况。
How Much Debt Does Novanta Carry?
Novanta承担多少债务?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Novanta had US$481.9m of debt, an increase on US$408.5m, over one year. However, it does have US$98.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$383.5m.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但截至2024年6月,Novanta的债务为48190万美元,比一年前的40850万美元有所增加。 然而,它有9850万美元的现金抵消这一点,导致净债务约为38350万美元。
How Healthy Is Novanta's Balance Sheet?
诺华达的资产负债表如何?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Novanta had liabilities of US$153.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$543.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$98.5m and US$145.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$453.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我们可以看到最新的资产负债表显示,诺华达有1.535亿美元的短期负债和5.431亿美元的长期负债。另一方面,它有0.985亿美元的现金和1.45亿美元的应收款项。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收款项的总和高出4.531亿美元。
Of course, Novanta has a market capitalization of US$6.58b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
当然,诺华达的市值为6.58亿美元,所以这些负债可能是可管理的。然而,我们认为值得关注资产负债表的强度,因为它可能随时间而变化。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。
Novanta has net debt worth 2.4 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 3.8 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Unfortunately, Novanta saw its EBIT slide 8.1% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Novanta can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
诺华达的净债务为EBITDA的2.4倍,这不算太多,但其利息覆盖率似乎有点低,EBIT仅为利息费用的3.8倍。虽然这并不让我们太担心,但它确实表明利息支出有些负担。遗憾的是,在过去的十二个月中,诺华达的EBIT下滑了8.1%。如果收益趋势持续下去,它的债务负担将变得沉重,就像一只北极熊看着它唯一的幼崽一样。资产负债表显然是分析债务时要重点关注的领域。但最终,公司未来的盈利能力将决定诺华达能否逐步加强其资产负债表。所以如果你专注于未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Novanta recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 80% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
最后,虽然税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受真金白银。所以我们明显需要看一下EBIT是否导致相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,诺华达的自由现金流达到其EBIT的80%,这比我们通常预期的要强。这使其在偿还债务方面处于非常强势的位置。
Our View
我们的观点
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Novanta was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to grow its EBIT. Considering this range of data points, we think Novanta is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Novanta you should be aware of.
当涉及资产负债表时,Novanta的一个显著的正面因素是,它似乎能够自信地将EBIt转化为自由现金流。然而,我们的其他观察并不那么令人振奋。例如,似乎它必须努力一点才能增长其EBIt。考虑到这一系列数据点,我们认为Novanta在管理其债务水平方面处于一个良好的位置。但需要注意的是:我们认为债务水平高到足以证明需要持续监控。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了大部分关于债务的信息。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。例如:我们发现了Novanta值得注意的1个警示信号。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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