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Timken's (NYSE:TKR) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 100% Return Over the Last Five Years

Timken's (NYSE:TKR) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 100% Return Over the Last Five Years

Timken(纽交所:TKR)的投资者将会因为过去五年中100%的强劲回报率而感到满意。
Simply Wall St ·  14:01

These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the The Timken Company (NYSE:TKR) share price is up 83% in the last five years, slightly above the market return. It's also good to see that the stock is up 6.2% in a year.

如今很容易购买一个指数基金,你的回报应该(大致)与市场相匹配。但事实是,如果你以正确的价格购买优质企业,你可以取得可观的收益。例如,铁姆肯公司(纽交所:TKR)的股票价格在过去五年中上涨了83%,略高于市场回报。看到股票在一年内上涨了6.2%也是一个好迹象。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鉴于此,值得看看该公司的基本面是否一直是长期业绩的驱动因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之处。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的话说,“船只会在世界各地航行,但是持平地球学会会蓬勃发展。在市场上,价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差距……”评估公司周围情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Over half a decade, Timken managed to grow its earnings per share at 3.6% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 13% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

在过去的五年里,铁姆肯公司成功使其每股收益年均增长3.6%。这一每股收益的增长速度低于股价13%的年均增长率。这表明如今市场参与者对该公司持有更高的评价。考虑到过去五年的盈利增长记录,这并不令人感到意外。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。

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NYSE:TKR Earnings Per Share Growth September 4th 2024
纽交所:TKR每股收益增长,2024年9月4日

This free interactive report on Timken's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果您想进一步调查股票,铁姆肯(Timken)的收益、营业收入和现金流的这份免费互动报告是个好的开始。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Timken, it has a TSR of 100% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑股东总回报率(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR包括分红派息的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价的资本筹集或分拆所带来的利益。可以说,TSR能更全面地反映股票所生成的回报。以铁姆肯为例,它在过去5年的TSR为100%,超过了我们此前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,分红支付很大程度上解释了这种背离!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Timken shareholders are up 8.0% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 15% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Timken better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Timken that you should be aware of.

铁姆肯的股东在全年上涨了8.0%(甚至包括分红派息)。但这一回报不如市场。也许公司有一个更好的长期业绩记录,为股东提供了5年来年均TSR 15%的回报。也许股价只是在业务执行增长策略时休整。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣。但要更好地理解铁姆肯,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经发现了2个铁姆肯的预警信号,您应该注意。

But note: Timken may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:铁姆肯可能不是最佳的股票买入选择。因此,您可以查看这个免费的有着过去盈利增长(以及未来增长预期)的有趣公司列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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