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Should Weakness in CIMC Enric Holdings Limited's (HKG:3899) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in CIMC Enric Holdings Limited's (HKG:3899) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

中集安瑞科控股有限公司(HKG:3899)的股价下跌,是否意味着市场会根据良好的财务状况对股价进行修复?
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 18:23

With its stock down 22% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard CIMC Enric Holdings (HKG:3899). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on CIMC Enric Holdings' ROE.

股票下跌了22%,过去三个月,很容易忽视中集安瑞科控股(HKG:3899)。然而,股票价格通常受到公司长期财务状况的影响,在这种情况下,看起来相当可观。在本文中,我们决定关注中集安瑞科控股的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

对于股东来说,股东回报率(ROE)是一个重要的考虑因素,因为它告诉股东他们的资本被有效地再投资了多少。换句话说,它是一个衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利能力比率。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CIMC Enric Holdings is:

所以根据以上公式,CIMC Enric的ROE为:

8.8% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

8.8% = CN¥11亿 ÷ CN¥120亿(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.09 in profit.

“回报”是税后利润过去十二个月的收益。这意味着对每一个港元的股东权益,公司带来了0.09港元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长之间的关系是什么?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定ROE作为评估公司未来收益的有效指标。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长所保留的利润量,从而给我们一个关于公司增长潜力的想法。假设其他条件都相同,既具有较高ROE又具有较高利润保留的公司通常是增长率更高的公司,相比之下没有这些特点的公司会更低。

A Side By Side comparison of CIMC Enric Holdings' Earnings Growth And 8.8% ROE

中集安瑞科控股的盈利增长和8.8%的roe的并列比较

On the face of it, CIMC Enric Holdings' ROE is not much to talk about. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 12%. CIMC Enric Holdings was still able to see a decent net income growth of 8.9% over the past five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

从表面上看,中集安瑞科控股的roe并没有令人满意。然后我们将公司的roe与整个行业进行了比较,很失望地发现roe低于行业平均值12%。中集安瑞科控股在过去五年中仍然能够实现可观的净利润增长8.9%。所以,可能有其他积极影响公司盈利增长的因素。例如,公司的管理层可能做出了一些良好的战略决策,或者公司的派息率较低。

We then performed a comparison between CIMC Enric Holdings' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 8.9% in the same 5-year period.

然后我们对中集安瑞科控股的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,发现公司的增长与同样的5年期内行业的平均增长率8.9%类似。

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SEHK:3899 Past Earnings Growth September 4th 2024
SEHK:3899过去的盈利增长 2024年9月4日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 3899? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

衡量企业价值的基础很大程度上取决于其盈利增长。投资者需要判断的是,预期的盈利增长或其缺乏是否已经反映在股价中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是看好还是不看好。市场是否已经为3899未来的前景定价?您可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。

Is CIMC Enric Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

中集安瑞科控股有限公司是否高效地再投资其利润?

CIMC Enric Holdings has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 37% (or a retention ratio of 63%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

中集安瑞科控股有限公司中度的三年中位数派息比率为37%(或保留比率为63%),并且盈利增长也相当可观,这意味着该公司一直在有效利用其利润。

Moreover, CIMC Enric Holdings is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 50% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for CIMC Enric Holdings is speculated to rise to 12% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,中集安瑞科控股有限公司决定与股东分享其利润,我们可以从其连续至少十年的分红历史中推断出这一点。从当前的分析师共识数据来看,我们可以看到该公司未来的派息比率预计将在未来三年内上升至50%。尽管如此,中集安瑞科控股有限公司的未来roe预计将提高到12%,尽管派息比率有望增加,但可能会有其他因素推动roe的未来增长。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we do feel that CIMC Enric Holdings has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

整体而言,我们确实认为中集安瑞科控股有一些积极的特点。尽管ROE较低,公司的再投资率却很高,这导致其盈利出现了相当大的增长。 与此同时,最新的分析师预测显示,公司的盈利将继续扩张。要了解有关公司最新分析师预测的更多信息,请查看该公司的分析师预测可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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