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HengbaoLtd's (SZSE:002104) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

HengbaoLtd's (SZSE:002104) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

恒宝有限公司(SZSE:002104)的业绩低迷并不完全反映整体情况
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 18:25

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Hengbao Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002104) lackluster earnings report last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

上周恒宝股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002104)发布的营收报告未能引起股东的担忧。我们的分析表明,尽管利润较低,但业务基础依然坚实。

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SZSE:002104 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024
深圳证券交易所:002104 收益和营收历史记录 2024年9月4日

A Closer Look At HengbaoLtd's Earnings

对恒宝股份有限公司的盈利进行更详细的分析

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者没有听说过来自现金流的计提比率,但实际上它是衡量公司利润在给定期间内如何得到自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用指标。该计提比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,然后将结果除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。您可将来自现金流的计提比率视为“非FCF利润比率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计利润率对公司来说是积极的,而正的应计利润率则是负面的。虽然有正的应计利润率不是问题,表示某种程度的非现金利润,但高的应计利润率可能是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇论文:“具有更高应计利润的公司未来 tend to be less profitable。”

For the year to June 2024, HengbaoLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥239m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥122.8m. HengbaoLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

截至2024年6月,恒宝股份有限公司的应计比率为-0.11。因此,其法定盈利远小于其自由现金流。实际上,去年自由现金流为2,3900万人民币,远大于其法定利润1,2280万人民币。恒宝股份有限公司的自由现金流在过去一年有所改善,这是一个好的迹象。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of HengbaoLtd.

注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击此处可以查看我们对恒宝股份有限公司资产负债表的分析。

Our Take On HengbaoLtd's Profit Performance

我们对恒宝有限公司的盈利表现有以下看法

HengbaoLtd's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think HengbaoLtd's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of HengbaoLtd.

恒宝有限公司的准确认收比率非常稳定,表明有强劲的自由现金流,正如我们之前所讨论的。因此,我们认为恒宝有限公司的盈利潜力至少和看上去一样好,甚至可能更好!然而,在过去的12个月里,它的每股收益实际上有所下降。当然,我们在分析盈利方面只是皮毛;其他因素包括利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等也需要考虑。所以,如果您想更深入地了解这只股票,必须要考虑到它所面临的任何风险。例如,我们发现了1个警示信号,您应该仔细观察,以便更好地了解恒宝有限公司的情况。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of HengbaoLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我们聚焦了一个单一的数据点,以更好地了解恒宝有限公司的盈利性质。但是,还有很多其他方法可以了解一个公司。有人认为良好的净资产收益率是一个高质量企业的一个好迹象。虽然这可能需要您做一些调查研究,但您可能会发现此免费公司组合提供了拥有高净资产收益率的公司,或者此拥有重要内部持股的股票清单对您有所帮助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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