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Ningbo Joy Intelligent Logistics TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301198) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 4, 2024 18:14

The subdued market reaction suggests that Ningbo Joy Intelligent Logistics Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301198) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

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SZSE:301198 Earnings and Revenue History September 4th 2024

Zooming In On Ningbo Joy Intelligent Logistics TechnologyLtd's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to June 2024, Ningbo Joy Intelligent Logistics TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.28. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥194m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥18.1m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥194m, this year, indicates high risk.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Ningbo Joy Intelligent Logistics TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

Ningbo Joy Intelligent Logistics TechnologyLtd didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Ningbo Joy Intelligent Logistics TechnologyLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs (3 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Ningbo Joy Intelligent Logistics TechnologyLtd.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Ningbo Joy Intelligent Logistics TechnologyLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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