Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603499) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603499) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603499) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 14% over the last week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's ROE in this article.
上海陽光包裝技術有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:603499)在股市上表現良好,其股票上週大幅上漲了14%。但是,我們決定關注公司的基本面,這些基本面似乎並未給公司的財務狀況提供明確的信號。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的投資回報率。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算股本回報率?
The formula for return on equity is:
股本回報率的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd is:
因此,根據上述公式,上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的投資回報率爲:
3.8% = CN¥31m ÷ CN¥820m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
3.8% = 3100萬元人民幣 ÷ 82000萬元人民幣(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.
「回報」 是指公司去年的收益。另一種看法是,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,公司就能獲得0.04元人民幣的利潤。
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 「保留」 了多少及其有效性。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。
A Side By Side comparison of Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 3.8% ROE
上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的收益增長和3.8%的投資回報率的並排比較
As you can see, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 5.4%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's five year net income decline of 9.0% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
如你所見,上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的投資回報率看起來相當疲軟。即使與行業平均水平的5.4%相比,投資回報率的數字也相當令人失望。出於這個原因,鑑於投資回報率較低,上海陽光包裝科技有限公司五年淨收入下降9.0%並不奇怪。我們認爲,可能還有其他方面對公司的盈利前景產生負面影響。例如,該公司的派息率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。
That being said, we compared Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 1.3% in the same 5-year period.
話雖如此,我們將上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的業績與行業進行了比較,當我們發現儘管該公司縮減了收益,但該行業在同期5年內以1.3%的速度增長了收益時,我們對此感到擔憂。
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The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。無論情況如何,投資者都應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水,還是沼澤的水域在等着你。如果你想知道上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的估值,可以看看這個衡量其與行業相比的市盈率指標。
Is Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
上海陽光包裝科技有限公司是否有效地將利潤再投資?
Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 43% (or a retention ratio of 57%) which is pretty normal, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
從其三年中位數派息率43%(或57%的留存率)來看,這是很正常的,上海陽光包裝科技有限公司的收益下降相當令人困惑,因爲當一家公司保留很大一部分利潤時,人們預計會看到相當大的增長。看來可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。
Additionally, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd has paid dividends over a period of six years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.
此外,上海陽光包裝科技有限公司已在六年內派發了股息,這意味着無論收益如何萎縮,該公司的管理層都相當專注於維持股息支付。
Conclusion
結論
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.
總的來說,我們認爲上海陽光包裝科技有限公司表現出的表現可以有多種解釋。儘管該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低投資回報率意味着所有這些再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且還對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。您可以在此處的平台上免費訪問我們的風險儀表板,查看我們爲上海陽光包裝科技有限公司確定的4種風險。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。