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Should Weakness in Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600754) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600754) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

是否应该将锦江b股(SHSE:600754)的股票走弱视为市场会因持有相对不错的财报而修正股价的信号?
Simply Wall St ·  09/04 19:19

It is hard to get excited after looking at Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels' (SHSE:600754) recent performance, when its stock has declined 12% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels' ROE in this article.

在看到锦江b股(SHSE:600754)最近的表现后,很难感到兴奋,因为其股价在过去三个月下跌了12%。然而,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来的市场价格走势保持一致。具体来说,我们决定在本篇文章中研究锦江b股的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

roe或股东权益回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得回报的有用工具。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其权益资本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels is:

因此,根据上述公式,锦江b股的roe为:

8.9% = CN¥1.6b ÷ CN¥18b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

8.9% = CN¥16亿 ÷ CN¥180亿(根据2024年6月时的过去十二个月计算)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.09 in profit.

“回报”是业务在过去一年内获得的收入。通过这种方式概念化,对于每个股东的资本中的CN¥1,公司赚取CN¥0.09的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长之间的关系是什么?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,ROE是公司未来赚钱能力的有效衡量标准。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长而再投资或“保留”的利润。这样,我们就能了解公司的增长潜力。一般而言,在其他条件相等的情况下,具有高净资产收益率和利润保留率的公司,比那些不具备这些特点的公司有更高的增长率。

Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels' Earnings Growth And 8.9% ROE

锦江b股的盈利增长和8.9%的roe

At first glance, Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels' ROE doesn't look very promising. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 8.9%, we may spare it some thought. However, Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high. Hence, this provides some context to the flat earnings growth seen by the company.

乍一看,锦江b股的roe看起来并不太令人期待。然而,考虑到该公司的roe与8.9%的行业平均roe相似,我们可以仔细考虑一下。然而,锦江b股在过去五年里看到了平稳的净利润增长,这并不能说明什么。请记住,该公司的roe并不是很高。因此,这为该公司所见到的盈利增长停滞提供了一些背景。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 0.5% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下来,与行业净利润增长进行比较,我们发现锦江b股的增长相当高,与同一时期行业平均增长的0.5%相比,这是非常好的。

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SHSE:600754 Past Earnings Growth September 4th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长在股票估值中起着重要作用。 接下来投资者需要判断的是,预期的盈利增长是否已经被融入了股价。 这样做将帮助他们判断股票的未来是充满希望还是不妙。 一个好的预期盈利增长指标是市盈率,它根据业绩前景确定市场愿意为股票支付的价格。 因此,您可能希望查看上海锦江国际酒店的市盈率相对于行业是偏高还是偏低。

Is Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

上海锦江国际酒店是否有效利用保留收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 36% (implying that the company keeps 64% of its income) over the last three years, Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels has seen a negligible amount of growth in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管过去三年的中位数派息比率为36%(意味着公司保留了其收入的64%),但上海锦江国际酒店的盈利增长几乎没有增长,正如我们上面所见。 因此,这里可能还存在其他因素,可能会妨碍其增长。 例如,该业务面临了一些困境。

Moreover, Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 45% over the next three years. Despite the higher expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

此外,上海锦江国际酒店至少连续十年支付股息,这表明管理层认为股东更喜欢派息而非盈利增长。 在研究最新的分析师共识数据时,我们发现该公司未来的派息比率预计将在未来三年内上升至45%。 尽管预计派息比率较高,但公司的ROE预计不会有太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels has some positive aspects to its business. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,上海锦江国际酒店业务有一些积极方面。尽管回报率较低,但公司通过大规模再投资实现了令人瞩目的盈利增长。话虽如此,根据当前分析师的预估,我们发现公司的盈利预期将会有所增长。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的整体预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处查看我们分析师对该公司的预测。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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