Concerns Surrounding Baimtec MaterialLtd's (SHSE:688563) Performance
Concerns Surrounding Baimtec MaterialLtd's (SHSE:688563) Performance
Baimtec Material Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688563) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.
百汇科技材料股份有限公司(SHSE:688563)的健康利润数字没有给投资者带来任何意外。我们认为这是因为投资者超越了法定利润,并关注他们所看到的内容。
Zooming In On Baimtec MaterialLtd's Earnings
聚焦百汇科技材料股份有限公司的盈利能力
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
用于衡量公司如何将其利润转换为自由现金流的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。 简单来说,这个比率从净利润中减去自由现金流,并将该数字除以该期间内公司的平均营运资产。 该比率告诉我们,公司利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,当一个公司的应计项目比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果它的应计项目比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计项目比率超过零不太值得关注,但我们认为当一个公司的应计项目比率相对较高时值得注意。需要注意的是,一些学术证据表明,高应计项目比率通常是短期利润的一个不好的迹象。
Baimtec MaterialLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.27 for the year to June 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥161m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥591.5m. It's worth noting that Baimtec MaterialLtd generated positive FCF of CN¥250m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
百汇科技材料股份有限公司在2024年6月的准确率为0.27。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远不及所报告的利润。在过去的一年里,其实际自由现金流为16100万人民币的负值,相比之下,其利润为59150万人民币。值得注意的是,百汇科技材料股份有限公司一年前产生25,000万人民币的正向自由现金流,所以至少他们以前做过这样的事情。话虽如此,事情并不止这些。我们可以看到,异常项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了准确率。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Baimtec MaterialLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥48m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
鉴于应计比率,百得材料有限公司的利润在过去十二个月内因价值4.8亿人民币的异常项目而获得提振。我们不得不承认,利润增加通常让我们感到乐观,但我们更希望利润能够持续。当我们对成千上万家上市公司的数据进行分析时,我们发现某一年的异常项目增加往往在下一年并不会重复。这并不奇怪,考虑到异常项目的名称。假设这些异常项目在当年不再出现,我们因此预计下一年的利润将会较弱(在没有业务增长的情况下)。
Our Take On Baimtec MaterialLtd's Profit Performance
我们对百得材料有限公司的利润表现的看法
Summing up, Baimtec MaterialLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Baimtec MaterialLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about Baimtec MaterialLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Baimtec MaterialLtd (including 1 which is significant).
总之,百得材料有限公司从异常项目中获得了利润的良好提升,但未能用自由现金流匹配其虚增的利润。基于上述原因,我们认为粗略地浏览百得材料有限公司的法定利润可能会使它看起来比它在基本水平上实际上更好。如果您想更多了解百得材料有限公司的业务,了解其面临的任何风险是很重要的。因此,您应该了解我们在百得材料有限公司发现的两个警示信号(其中一个非常重要)。
Our examination of Baimtec MaterialLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我们对百得材料有限公司的审查集中在某些因素上,这些因素可以使其盈利看起来比实际情况更好。基于这一点,我们对此持怀疑态度。但是有很多其他方法可以形成对公司的看法。有些人认为股东权益回报率高是优质业务的良好标志。虽然这可能需要您做一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的高股东权益回报率企业收藏,或这个持有大量内部持股的股票清单有用。
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