PKU HealthCareLtd (SZSE:000788) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn't Stop There
PKU HealthCareLtd (SZSE:000788) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn't Stop There
PKU HealthCare Corp.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000788) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.
北京大学医药保健股份有限公司(SZSE:000788)最近的财报没有提供任何意外,股价在过去一周保持不变。经过一番调查,我们认为投资者对底层数据中的一些鼓舞人心的因素存在误解。
Zooming In On PKU HealthCareLtd's Earnings
聚焦PKU HealthCareLtd的盈利情况
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
用于衡量公司将其盈利转换成自由现金流(FCF)的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了得出应计比率,我们首先从一个期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以期间的平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司利润有多少不受自由现金流支持。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率为零以上的事情无关紧要,但我们认为当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文:“应计越高的公司未来利润率越低”。
For the year to June 2024, PKU HealthCareLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.12. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥238m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥99.4m. PKU HealthCareLtd shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
对于截至2024年6月的一年,北京大学医药保健股份有限公司的应计比率为-0.12。这意味着它具有良好的现金转换能力,并且表明其自由现金流去年明显超过其利润。实际上,去年它的自由现金流为23800万元人民币,远远超过其法定利润9940万元人民币。北京大学医药保健股份有限公司的股东无疑对过去十二个月的自由现金流改善感到满意。但这并不是唯一需要考虑的因素,应计比率反映了异常项目对法定利润的影响,至少部分如此。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of PKU HealthCareLtd.
注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击此处查看我们对北京大学医药保健股份有限公司的资产负债表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
PKU HealthCareLtd's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥17m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If PKU HealthCareLtd doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.
北京大学医疗保健有限公司在过去十二个月中由于飞凡项目损失了1700万元,这有助于它产生高的现金转化率。在那些飞凡项目包括非现金费用的情况下,我们预期会看到较高的应计比率,而在这个案例中确实是如此。看到飞凡项目导致公司损失利润确实不太好,但好处是事情可能会比预期更快地好转。当我们分析了全球大部分上市公司时,发现重大的飞凡项目通常不会重复发生。而且,归根结底,这正是会计术语所暗示的。如果北京大学医疗保健有限公司不再出现这些异常费用,其他一切不变的情况下,我们预计其利润将在未来一年内增加。
Our Take On PKU HealthCareLtd's Profit Performance
我们对北京大学医疗保健有限公司的利润表现的看法
Considering both PKU HealthCareLtd's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Looking at all these factors, we'd say that PKU HealthCareLtd's underlying earnings power is at least as good as the statutory numbers would make it seem. While earnings are important, another area to consider is the balance sheet. If you're interested we have a graphic representation of PKU HealthCareLtd's balance sheet.
考虑到北京大学医疗保健有限公司的应计比率和异常项目,我们认为其法定盈利不太可能夸大公司的基本盈利能力。综合考虑所有这些因素,我们可以说,北京大学医疗保健有限公司的基本盈利能力至少与法定数据看起来一样好。虽然盈利很重要,但另一个要考虑的领域是资产负债表。如果您有兴趣,我们有一张关于北京大学医疗保健有限公司资产负债表的图像代表。
Our examination of PKU HealthCareLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我们对北京大学医疗保健有限公司的审查主要关注了一些可以让其利润看起来比实际情况更好的因素。而且它已经通过了。但是还有很多其他方法可以了解一家公司的情况。有些人认为高股本回报率是一个优质企业的良好标志。虽然这可能需要您自己做一些研究,但您可能会发现这份免费的高股本回报率公司收藏或者持有重要内部股权的股票清单对您有所帮助。
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