Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories (SHSE:603107)
Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories (SHSE:603107)
Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603107) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
上海汽車空調配件股份有限公司(SHSE:603107)強勁的收益報告沒有推動其股票的市場。我們進行了一些調查,並在細節中發現了一些令人擔憂的因素。

Zooming In On Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories' Earnings
聚焦上海汽車空調配件的收益
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的一項關鍵財務比率是應計比率。要獲得應計比率,我們首先將某一時期的FCF從利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以該時期平均經營資產。您可以將來自現金流的應計比率視爲「非FCF獲利比例」。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,當一家公司的應計項目比率爲負時,實際上是一件好事,但如果其應計項目比率爲正,則是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計項目比率爲正,但值得注意的是,當應計項目比率相當高時,可能會導致利潤或利潤增長降低。
Over the twelve months to June 2024, Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories recorded an accrual ratio of 0.26. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥103m despite its profit of CN¥187.2m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥103m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
在截至2024年6月的十二個月中,上海汽車空調配件實現的應計比率爲0.26。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠遠不足以彌補其報告的利潤。在過去的十二個月中,儘管盈利達到了18720萬人民幣,但其實際上出現了負自由現金流,流出了1.03億人民幣(上述)。繼去年出現負自由現金流之後,我們想象一些股東可能會想知道今年1.03億人民幣的現金燒燬是否意味着高風險。話雖如此,情況並非如此簡單。我們可以看到,非常規項目影響了其法定利潤,因此也影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表實力。點擊這裏查看我們對上海汽車空調配件的資產負債表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
As it happens, there are a few different things to consider when we look at Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories' profit and the last one we'll mention is CN¥18m gain booked as unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
涉及到上海汽車空調配件的利潤時,有一些不同的事情需要考慮,我們最後要提到的是1,800萬元人民幣的非常項目收益。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增長,但當非常項目做出重大貢獻時,我們傾向於更加謹慎。當我們對數千家上市公司的數據進行分析時,發現非常項目在一年內的提升往往不會在下一年重複出現。這並不奇怪,因爲它就是非常項目的名字。如果上海汽車空調配件不再看到這種貢獻的重複,那麼其他一切相等的情況下,我們預計其利潤在當前年份會下降。
Our Take On Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories' Profit Performance
對上海汽車空調配件的利潤表現我們的看法
Summing up, Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories at this point in time. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for Shanghai Automobile Air-Conditioner Accessories (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
總結一下,上海汽車空調配件通過非常項目獲得了利潤的巨大提升,但無法與其紙面利潤匹配的自由現金流。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲上海汽車空調配件的利潤可能過於慷慨地展示了其可持續盈利水平。因此,儘管盈利質量很重要,但同樣重要的是考慮當前時點上面臨的風險。當我們進行研究時,我們發現上海汽車空調配件有2個警告信號(不能忽視!),我們認爲這值得您充分關注。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在這篇文章中,我們已經看到了許多可以削弱利潤數字實用性的因素,並且我們留下了審慎的心態。但是,如果您能夠專注於細節,那麼總能發現更多。一些人認爲高股東回報率是優質企業的良好跡象。儘管這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這個高股東回報率公司列表或至少有一個重要內部持股的股票列表對您有所幫助。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。