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Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300155) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Sep 5 19:12

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Consumer Durables industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300155) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SZSE:300155 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 5th 2024

What Does Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 32%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 70% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.6% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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