Concerns Surrounding Tong Ren Tang Technologies' (HKG:1666) Performance
Concerns Surrounding Tong Ren Tang Technologies' (HKG:1666) Performance
The recent earnings posted by Tong Ren Tang Technologies Co. Ltd. (HKG:1666) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.
同仁堂科技有限公司(HKG:1666)最近发布的收益令人满意,但股价并未如我们预期的那样上涨。然而,仅仅看官方披露的利润数字并不能完全反映实际情况,我们还发现一些可能对股东产生影响的因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Tong Ren Tang Technologies' Earnings
考察同仁堂科技的现金流与收益
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
用于衡量公司如何将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一个关键财务比率是预提账户。简单地说,这个比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将那个数字除以该期间公司的平均营运资产。该比率显示了一个公司的利润超过了其FCF的多少。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,负的应计利润率对公司来说是积极的,而正的应计利润率则是负面的。虽然有正的应计利润率不是问题,表示某种程度的非现金利润,但高的应计利润率可能是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇论文:“具有更高应计利润的公司未来 tend to be less profitable。”
Tong Ren Tang Technologies has an accrual ratio of 0.22 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥650.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥873m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥884m a year ago though, so Tong Ren Tang Technologies has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for Tong Ren Tang Technologies shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
据我们了解,同仁堂科技在截至2024年6月的一年中的应计率为0.22。因此我们知道,它的自由现金流远低于它的官方利润,这是不太好的。尽管它报告了6,508万元的利润,但从自由现金流来看,它在过去一年中实际烧掉了8,730万元。不过一年前,自由现金流为8,840万元,所以同仁堂科技至少在过去能够产生正面的自由现金流。对同仁堂科技的股东来说,一个积极的因素是去年的应计率要好得多,这使人有理由相信它将来可以恢复更强劲的现金流转换。因此,一些股东可能希望在当前年度看到更强劲的现金流转换。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
Our Take On Tong Ren Tang Technologies' Profit Performance
关于同仁堂科技公司盈利表现的看法
Tong Ren Tang Technologies didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Tong Ren Tang Technologies' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 26% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Tong Ren Tang Technologies, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've found that Tong Ren Tang Technologies has 2 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
在过去一年里,同仁堂科技并没有将大部分利润转化为自由现金流,这可能会被一些投资者认为是相当不理想的。因此,我们认为同仁堂科技公司的法定利润可能优于其潜在收益能力。但至少持有者可以从过去三年每股收益增长了26%这一点中获得一些安慰。当然,在分析其收入时,我们仅仅只是触及了表面;人们还可以考虑毛利率、预期增长以及投资回报率等其他因素。如果您希望深入了解同仁堂科技公司,您还应该考虑它目前面临的风险。例如,我们发现同仁堂科技公司有2个警示信号(其中一个不能被忽视!)值得您在进一步进行分析之前引起注意。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Tong Ren Tang Technologies' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
今天,我们放大了一个单一数据点,以更好地了解同仁堂科技公司盈利的性质。但是,如果您能够专注于细节,总会有更多发现。一些人认为高净资产收益率是优质企业的一个良好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这个高净资产收益率的公司集合,或者这个具有高内部所有权股票的清单。
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