Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' (SHSE:603578) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think
Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' (SHSE:603578) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think
Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603578) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.
浙江三星新材料有限公司's(上海證券交易所代碼:603578)最近疲軟的收益報告並未導致股市大幅波動。但是,我們認爲,投資者應注意一些可能令人擔憂的潛在因素。
A Closer Look At Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' Earnings
仔細看看浙江三星新材的收益
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 「非FCF利潤率」。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計比率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。
For the year to June 2024, Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials had an accrual ratio of 1.19. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥1.2b despite its profit of CN¥65.5m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials generated positive FCF of CN¥29m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
截至2024年6月的一年中,浙江三星新材的應計比率爲1.19。通常,這對未來的盈利能力來說是個壞兆頭。事實上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的十二個月中,它的自由現金流實際上爲負數,儘管如上所述,其利潤爲6550萬元人民幣,但流出量仍爲12元人民幣。值得注意的是,浙江三星新材在一年前創造了2900萬元人民幣的正FCF,因此至少他們過去曾這樣做過。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對浙江三星新材的資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' Profit Performance
我們對浙江三星新材盈利表現的看法
As we discussed above, we think Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials (1 is significant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
正如我們上面討論的那樣,我們認爲浙江三星新材的收益沒有得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。出於這個原因,我們認爲浙江三星新材的法定利潤可能不利於其潛在盈利能力,並可能給投資者留下過於積極的印象。另一個壞消息是,其每股收益在去年有所下降。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。如果你想更深入地了解浙江三星新材,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。當我們進行研究時,我們發現了浙江三星新材料的4個警告信號(1個很重要!)我們認爲值得你全神貫注。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Zhejiang Three Stars New Materials' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
這份報告只研究了揭示浙江三星新材盈利性質的單一因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份擁有大量內幕持股的股票清單很有用。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。