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Sany Renewable EnergyLtd's (SHSE:688349) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear

Sany Renewable EnergyLtd's (SHSE:688349) Weak Earnings Might Be Worse Than They Appear

山西新能源有限公司(SHSE:688349)的业绩可能比表面看起来要糟糕。
Simply Wall St ·  09/07 20:18

Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Sany Renewable Energy Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688349) weak earnings. We did some analysis and found some concerning details beneath the statutory profit number.

股东似乎对三一可再生能源股份有限公司(SHSE:688349)的弱收益并不太担心。我们进行了一些分析,并在法定利润数字下找到了一些令人担忧的细节。

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SHSE:688349 Earnings and Revenue History September 8th 2024
SHSE:688349盈利和营业收入历史记录2024年9月8日

Zooming In On Sany Renewable EnergyLtd's Earnings

对Sany可再生能源有限公司盈利的深入分析

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一个重要财务比率是应计比率。 应计比率将FCF从给定时期的利润中减去,并将结果除以公司在该期间的平均运营资产。 您可以将非自由现金流获利比率视为从现金流中提取的应计比率。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

这意味着负的计提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然拥有正的计提比率毫无问题,表明某种程度的非现金利润,但高的计提比率则是一个坏信号,因为这表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高的计提比率对近期利润总体上是一个坏兆头。

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Sany Renewable EnergyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 1.02. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥4.4b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥1.62b. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥4.4b, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在2023年6月的十二个月里,Sany可再生能源有限公司的应计比率为1.02。一般来说,这对未来的盈利能力不利。事实上,在此期间,该公司根本没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去的一年中,其自由现金流实际上为负44亿人民币,与前述的16.2亿元的利润相对比。在去年出现负自由现金流的情况下,我们可以想象,一些股东可能会好奇今年其44亿元的现金燃烧是否意味着风险高。话虽如此,故事还有更多内容。我们可以看到,异常项目对其法定利润以及应计比率产生了影响。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥261m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Sany Renewable EnergyLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to June 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

公司去年飞凡项目增加了2,6100万元的利润。虽然盈利增加总是好事,但飞凡项目的巨大贡献有时会减弱我们的热情。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了分析,发现飞凡项目往往是一次性的。这也是意料之中的,因为这些提振被描述为“飞凡”。相对于其2024年6月份的利润来看,三一可再生能源有着相当显著的飞凡项目贡献。因此,我们可以推断,飞凡项目使其法定利润比预期显著强大。

Our Take On Sany Renewable EnergyLtd's Profit Performance

我们对三一可再生能源公司的利润表现进行分析

Sany Renewable EnergyLtd had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Sany Renewable EnergyLtd's statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Sany Renewable EnergyLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of these is significant.

三一可再生能源公司的应计利润率较低,但其利润确实受益于飞凡项目的提振。基于上述所有原因,我们认为,乍一看,三一可再生能源公司的法定利润可能被视为低质量,因为这可能会给投资者带来过于正面的印象。因此,如果您希望对该公司进行更多分析,了解涉及的风险是至关重要的。例如:我们发现了三一可再生能源公司的2个警示信号,您应该注意其中1个是重要的。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在本文中,我们看了许多可能损害利润数字实用性的因素,我们持谨慎态度。但还有很多其他方法可以了解一家公司的观点。一些人认为高净资产收益率是高质量企业的好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这里提供的高净资产收益率公司的免费集合,或者这里持有高内部股权的股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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