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Are Glodon Company Limited's (SZSE:002410) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

Are Glodon Company Limited's (SZSE:002410) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

廣聯達公司(深交所:002410)的基本面是否足夠好,以便購買該股票,考慮到最近股價的疲軟?
Simply Wall St ·  09/07 20:36

It is hard to get excited after looking at Glodon's (SZSE:002410) recent performance, when its stock has declined 15% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Glodon's ROE today.

看了Glodon(深圳證券交易所:002410)最近的表現,很難感到興奮,當時其股票在過去三個月中下跌了15%。但是,如果你密切關注,你可能會發現其關鍵財務指標看起來相當不錯,考慮到市場通常會獎勵更具彈性的長期基本面,這可能意味着該股有可能在長期內上漲。特別是,我們今天將關注Glodon的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Glodon is:

因此,根據上述公式,Glodon的投資回報率爲:

1.1% = CN¥70m ÷ CN¥6.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

1.1% = 7000萬元人民幣 ÷ 64元人民幣(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.01 in profit.

「回報」 是企業在過去一年中獲得的收入。另一種思考方式是,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,該公司就能獲得0.01元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 「保留」 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

Glodon's Earnings Growth And 1.1% ROE

Glodon 的收益增長和 1.1% 的投資回報率

As you can see, Glodon's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 4.4%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, the moderate 7.1% net income growth seen by Glodon over the past five years is definitely a positive. Therefore, the growth in earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

如你所見,格洛登的投資回報率看起來相當疲軟。即使與4.4%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率也相當慘淡。但是,Glodon在過去五年中實現的7.1%的溫和淨收入增長絕對是積極的。因此,收益的增長可能是由其他變量造成的。例如——高收益留存率或實行高效管理。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Glodon's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 1.0% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下來,與行業淨收入增長相比,我們發現,與同期行業平均增長1.0%相比,Glodon的增長相當高,這真是太好了。

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SZSE:002410 Past Earnings Growth September 8th 2024
SZSE: 002410 過去的收益增長 2024 年 9 月 8 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Glodon is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查Glodon相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Glodon Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Glodon 是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Glodon has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 53%, meaning that it is left with only 47% to reinvest into its business. This implies that the company has been able to achieve decent earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Glodon的三年派息率中位數很高,爲53%,這意味着它只剩下47%可以再投資其業務。這意味着儘管將大部分利潤返還給了股東,但該公司仍能夠實現可觀的收益增長。

Additionally, Glodon has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 42% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 15% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

此外,Glodon在至少十年的時間內支付了股息,這意味着該公司非常認真地與股東分享利潤。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年降至42%。該公司的投資回報率預計將在同期上升至15%,這一事實可以用派息率的下降來解釋。

Summary

摘要

In total, it does look like Glodon has some positive aspects to its business. While no doubt its earnings growth is pretty substantial, we do feel that the reinvestment rate is pretty low, meaning, the earnings growth number could have been significantly higher had the company been retaining more of its profits. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,Glodon的業務看起來確實有一些積極的方面。儘管毫無疑問,其收益增長相當可觀,但我們確實認爲再投資率相當低,這意味着,如果該公司保留更多的利潤,收益增長數字本可以大大提高。話雖如此,從分析師目前的估計來看,我們發現該公司的收益有望增強。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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